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18 September
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korrents.com
A competent, empowered civil service that performs crucial government functions with in-house expertise is good.Their words
One unpopular position I’ve stuck to over the years is that a strong bureaucracy is good. I don’t mean “bureaucracy” as in red tape and regulation; I mean a competent, empowered civil service that can perform crucial government functions efficiently and well using in-house expertise. This is also called state capacity.
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korrents.com
Freedom of navigation is a global public good that decays once its guarantor is seen as unwilling to bear its cost.Their words
Freedom of navigation is a global public good, and public goods decay the instant their provider is revealed to be unwilling to pay for them.
16 September
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Their words
The American gentry's fortunes, in other words, are in substantial part, a policy artifact.
America’s Gentry Élite: TUESDAY TRENDS & TURMOILbraddelong.substack.com
14 September
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Their words
foundation is ostensibly a sci-fi series about empires, psychohistory, and hard technology, but really it's about individuals with extreme agency and puzzle-solving ability having wildly outsized impact on a universe that would otherwise just sit there waiting to decay
8 September
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Their words
At a fundamental level, they’re just hostile to the idea of expertise in any domain, in pretty much every agency where there’s something to know, where there’s technical stuff that you need to know to make good decisions. The people who actually know things, or the people who are willing to speak up about what they know, have been silenced, purged.
6 September
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Their words
there exists a wisdom in the involuntary, and that our attempts to shape reality, however intentional, are themselves a form of unintentional expression.
#281: You, with a layer of paranoia shaved offhaleynahman.substack.com
1 September
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Their words
To be clear, I am not saying the arrival of self-sovereign AI is a good thing. Indeed, I believe there is a chance that the deliberate acts I referenced above will one day be considered crimes, or at least grave sins. Instead, I am saying it is an inevitable thing.
31 August
24 August
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Their words
AI models can start to decay. The output (gross) starts to flatten. Sentences sound more repetitive. Boring.
19 August
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Their words
what what is the current thing that models are not very good at doing? Alpha is going to decay in some way with every model release or every series of model releases. So, it's going to change over time.
18 August
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Their words
With the rise of AI, human connection is becoming more elusive, which means we have to be proactive in seeking it out.
10 August
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korrents.com
Handing all code production to AI leaves junior developers with no path to becoming senior ones.Their words
In addition to reliability issues, it often engenders a mind-numbing workflow and an environment where junior developers will never acquire the expertise to become senior developers capable of designing complex systems.
30 July
29 July
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korrents.com
China's industrial lead was manufactured by deliberate state industrial policy rather than by market forces alone.Their words
What China is delivering in the 2020s is an industrial policy shock of global scale.
20 July
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Their words
A lot of people don't realize that particularly brain development, but then also the refining of functions in the brain through neuroplasticity includes the pruning or removal of signapses. Often we think about it's all about growth and new connections, but actually it also involves the refining or removal of of other connections that aren't needed.
19 July
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korrents.com
Deep design expertise does not get squeezed out just because code and analysis got faster.Their words
But I think it would be a mistake to say design and deep design expertise and thinking gets squeezed out just because we can write code faster. We can do data analysis faster.
30 June
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Their words
One is it seems like there's a really strong correlation between the people who come up with genuinely novel insights and also who are actually quite clear in their communication of it.
4 June
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korrents.com
The most valuable problem to pursue is the hardest one someone is genuinely positioned to solve.Their words
Doing "the hard thing" means pursuing the highest-value problem you can find that still sits inside your zone of expertise; the hardest problem you're personally in a position to win.
27 May
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Their words
The boring truth is that expertise in most subjects is largely a matter of having an enormous library of knowledge and skill.
15 April
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Their words
And so our expertise um helps our our our um uh our AI labs partners get another 2x out of their stack easily. Often times it's not unusual that we you know by the time that we're done optimizing their stack or optimizing a particular kernel their model sped up by 3x 2x 50%.
7 April
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Their words
his expertise seems to be getting in the way. He knows so much, he understands so much, um and then he's not able to let go of these these things.
20 March
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Their words
Yeah, so they excel at breadth and humans excel at depth. Um like human experts at least. Yeah, so um I think they're very complementary. Um but our current uh way of doing math and science is focused on depth because that that's where the human uh expertise cuz humans can't do breadth.
1 January
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Politics on the EdgeTheir words
The stand-out non-fiction book of the year was Rory Stewart's Politics on the Edge. I have a lot of disagreements with Stewart's political positions (the more I listen to him, the more disagreements I find), but he is an excellent memoirist who skewers the banality, superficiality, and contempt for competence that has become so prevailing in centrist and right-wing politics. It's hard not to read this book and despair of electoralism and the current structures of governments, but it's bracing to know that even some people I disagree with believe in the value of expertise.
19 December 2025
27 November 2025
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korrents.com
Relying on AI to replace performance engineers reduces an organization's overall technical expertise over time.Their words
If a company spends less on performance engineers as it's considered AI'd, it will reduce the company's effective "performance IQ."
11 October 2025
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Their words
This is intentional and I believe good AI drivers are experts in their domains and utilize AI as an assistant, not a replacement.
28 September 2025
25 September 2025
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Their words
the perspective I outline is very bullish on AI capabilities and very concerned about the risks which may arise by default, but also hopeful that, through foresight and vigorous action, we can mitigate the worst of these risks.
18 August 2025
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Their words
I just think about like really simple things like access to mental health care, access to education, access to medical advice, access to legal advice. We're essentially taking expertise and making it a commodity. And I think that will is generally democratizing.
31 July 2025
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Their words
So they think, a lot of the historians, they think the Mongols are so stupid, they let the irrigation system be destroyed. No, it takes more work to destroy an irrigation system than it does to create it. They destroyed those systems out of a policy, and that was, “This is going to return to pasture land.”
28 May 2025
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korrents.com
Defining what expertise looks like in a job family is not HR’s work, and a career ladder left to them will be wrong.Their words
Don’t let (or make!) HR do all of the work. It’s really not their job to define expertise in your functions.
21 March 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
RestTheir words
A refreshing counterargument to our culture's obsession with busyness, showing how deliberate rest is an essential component of the good life.
6 March 2025
6 February 2025
8 January 2025
20 November 2024
18 November 2024
16 October 2024
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Their words
It uses massive megalithic architecture, which is very difficult to destroy, and a profound knowledge of astronomy to encode a date in a language that any culture which is sufficiently literate in astronomy will be able to decode.
21 July 2024
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Their words
The bar I typically suggest is that the people manager doesn't need to have the most technical depth on the team, but they need enough depth that they can follow most discussions without slowing them down, understand who's correct in most debates without needing to rely on trust, and generally stay oriented easily.
8 July 2024
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korrents.com
The thing open source can actually sell is not the code but access to its maintainers’ attention and expertise.Their words
Clients still pay a fixed monthly retainer to ensure the professional maintenance of the whole portfolio, and to get access to the expertise of all of Geomys’ maintainers.
29 June 2024
9 June 2024
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Their words
My hot take is that JS has the lowest bar of entry to building and being productive (a good thing) but one of the highest bars of any language and stack to building high quality, stable, and reliable software. Very few devs have the expertise to pull off the latter
25 May 2024
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Their words
This fits with some of the studies of chess experts and so forth that it’s not so much that you learn the patterns passively. You learn what to look for. You learn what’s important and what’s not.
18 April 2024
30 January 2024
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Their words
I think that the enshittification framework goes a long way to explaining it, moving us out of the mysterious realm of the 'great forces of history,' and into the material world of specific decisions made by named people – decisions we can reverse and people whose addresses and pitchfork sizes we can learn.
23 January 2024
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korrents.com
China's industrial lead was manufactured by deliberate state industrial policy rather than by market forces alone.Their words
The foundations of China’s success in EVs were built a decade ago, when the state decided to bet on batteries, and then bought up a lot of the mines for these metals.
19 December 2023
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Likedrcmnd.app
Creativity in ScienceTheir words
This book surveys theories of creativity, contrasting four competing explanations: expertise, genius, society, and chance, in offering a model for how creativity works. Simonton's work provides a nice hybrid between the purely anecdotal work of biographers and the data-driven work of experimental scientists.
18 December 2023
14 December 2023
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Their words
If you make the wrong decision, if it's a two-way door decision, you pick a door, you walk out and you spend a little time there. It turns out to be the wrong decision, you can come back in and pick another door. Some decisions are so consequential and so important and so hard to reverse that they really are one-way door decisions. You go in that door, you're not coming back. And those decisions have to be made very deliberately, very carefully.
26 October 2023
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Their words
Despite evaluations, we cannot consider coming powerful frontier AI systems "safe unless proven unsafe". With current testing methodologies, issues can easily be missed. Additionally, it is unclear if governments can quickly build the immense expertise needed for reliable technical evaluations of AI capabilities and societal-scale risks. Given this, developers of frontier AI should carry the burden of proof to demonstrate that their plans keep risks within acceptable limits.
12 January 2023
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Their words
Importantly, low-cost countries with more clientelism and politicization of the state tend to be more deferential to the expertise of engineers.
High Costs are not About Precaritypedestrianobservations.com
5 December 2022
9 August 2022
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korrents.com
A run of correct forecasts is not evidence of expertise, because among many forecasters some are right by chance.Their words
I may have I may be an investor. I have a track record of calling the market right in the last five times. People say, "Wow, he really knows what he's talking about." But there are lots of people who are trying to predict which way the market is going to go. And some of them are going to get it right by chance. And people assume it's because they know what they're what they're doing, and in fact they're just the lucky ones.
5 November 2019
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Their words
To make deliberate progress towards more intelligent and more human-like artificial systems, we need to be following an appropriate feedback signal: we need to be able to define and evaluate intelligence in a way that enables comparisons between two systems, as well as comparisons with humans.
10 July 2019
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Their words
Work that’s too fine, too early commits everyone to the wrong details. Designers and programmers need room to apply their own judgement and expertise when they roll up their sleeves and discover all the real trade-offs that emerge.
1 May 2019
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