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Their words
RSI is poised to make modern LLMs vastly cheaper. Trends that have shown LLMs get exponentially cheaper at a given intelligence are likely to accelerate.
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19 September
18 September
From one piece The iPhone 18 Pro is a transcription monster 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
iPhones always start out really high, and then after a couple minutes will throttle down and settle somewhere.
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Their words
the MacBook Pro just starts going and will literally just keep in the same performance window from now until the end of time.
15 September
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Their words
While the average overall quality of Apple's shows are higher than those on Netflix or Prime Video, they still don't have the type of 'A+' content that HBO was regularly pumping out at their peak.
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korrents.com
Some coastal regions see bigger COVID waves in summer than in winter, unlike colder regions that peak in winter.Their words
The West, like California and Hawaii, has bigger waves in summer than in winter.
14 September
13 September
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korrents.com
Intelligence and Polanyi knowledge are mostly complements with fairly limited substitutability in producing output.Their words
In the model, intelligence and Polanyi knowledge combine to produce output. Substitutability is fairly limited. For instance, if you have problems of norms in your office, a mere dose of AI-drenched technocratic knowledge does not usually solve those problems. Sometimes it even can make those problems worse, by empowering rent-seekers further. Intelligence and Polanyi knowledge are not quite Leontief complements, but they are mostly complements.
A simple model of AI-aided economic growthmarginalrevolution.com
1 September
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Their words
Musk's victims already number in the millions-a Lancet study predicts 14 million by 2030 as the indirect results of shutting down America's humanitarian work, which puts him up there in the Stalin/Mao category, and almost certainly the most deadly human of this millennium.
31 August
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Their words
I think it’s entirely plausible that screens have a real negative effect on teenagers, but studies can’t find them because (a) the effects need not be dose-dependent (maybe two hours on your phone isn’t worse than one hour), and (b) given that everyone else is on social media, giving it up can have a negative effect.
30 August
29 August
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Their words
VO2 max, the peak of our triangle, is one of the strongest predictors of all cause mortality at any age, reliably predicts the physical activities we can take part in in our daily lives, and slowly decreases as we age.
26 August
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korrents.com
Stock market investors spend most of their time below their previous all-time-high wealth, not at new peaks.Their words
Stock investors spend about 80% of their time below their previous peak wealth. Only 20% of the time are you sitting at an all-time high.
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korrents.com
Creating life with another human you love is the peak experience of being on the planet.Their words
I'm excited about a lot of things. I love building things, and I love hobbies, and I love all sorts of stuff. But creating life with another human that you love is literally the peak experience of being on the planet.
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Their words
What is the underlying hardware capable of doing at its theoretical peak? And then you measure the delta between that theoretical maximum and what you have achieved.
25 August
24 August
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Their words
If you start from a low baseline of performance, you might get some positive boost. It's quite small, but you might get it. But if you are actually quite a high performer, then you risk getting worse. with this is called the inverse U-shaped curve.
18 August
17 August
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Their words
The high levels of Palestinian civilian casualties reflected the strategic choices made by the Israeli leadership.
15 August
From one piece How Nuclear Will Unlock Energy Abundance with Valar Atomics Founder Isaiah Taylor 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Nuclear energy is the safest form of energy empirically. If you look at the amount of power generated versus the amount amount of deaths, um it's even safer than solar, which is very strange because how does someone die from solar? that actually most solar is installed on roofs and people sometimes die falling off of a roof installing solar and if you add those deaths up it is actually a higher death per energy than the totality of nuclear energy in the world.
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Their words
Now, nobody died, right? Uh in fact, not only did nobody die, nobody was injured and there was no radiation dose to the public. But, uh it was sort of a optics and PR situation um that was mismanaged in many many different ways and the public uh became fearful and and lost interest in nuclear.
14 August
From one piece How Australia’s data centre lobby is winning its fight to freely pollute 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Greenwashing, particularly when embedded deep into legislation, kills people.
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korrents.com
Delaying the phase-out of coal and gas power plants causes far more deaths than phasing them out quickly.Their words
If we don't stop using these power stations ASAP, the number of people killed by them will be far higher than if we phase them out quickly.
12 August
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Their words
You read that right: The cost of climate-worsened wildfire smoke alone is larger than what earlier studies said every other estimated cost of climate change would be, combined.
11 August
23 July
20 July
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Their words
And both of those are perfectly reasonable states in which to perform. And assuming that you have to be in flow to perform just isn't true if you look at like how you know athletes perform in the moment.
13 July
From one piece The Strongest El Niño Ever 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
global temperature lags ENSO by around three to five months, most of this event's warming will land in 2027, which is now shaping up to be a genuinely alarming year and the warmest on record by a sizable margin.
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korrents.com
El Niño events typically peak near the end of the calendar year, between November and January.Their words
El Niño almost always peaks near the end of the calendar year - typically between November and January, occasionally as early as October
7 July
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Their words
Without a move away from fossil fuels, future heatwaves will keep testing the limits of public health systems and more people will die.
9 June
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Their words
So, the deaths for the the land powers are measured in uh millions, whereas the maritime powers, it's a hundreds of thousands, still not a great number.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
ObstetrixTheir words
All told, this is a read-in-one-sitting thriller that does as much to illuminate the workings and dynamics of patriarchy and religion as any gender studies class. It's peak Kritzer (so far), and that's saying something.
27 May
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Their words
We are about to see the Great Clean Energy Acceleration 2.0 - a discontinuity in energy markets as profound as the oil shocks of the 1970s, and one that could bring forward the peak in fossil fuel use and emissions to this side of 2030.
13 May
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korrents.com
The internet is already past peak truth, and picking out training data worth learning from will only get harder.Their words
I mean, you could argue that we we're already past peak truth on the on the on the internet, right? And now there's there's just more and more garbage every every day. It gets harder and harder to suss out the stuff that you do want to include in the training set in order to actually make something more intelligent.
29 April
16 April
8 April
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Their words, before
It may no longer have as much economic value as it once did. I think that I'm quite convinced is true that we perhaps have seen the peak.
Their words now
So, I do think it is correct for the average programmer to think maybe we've seen the best of the golden days.
31 March
13 March
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Their words
Then all of a sudden, you've unlocked 20% of the US grid for data centers because most of the times that capacity is sitting idle and it's really only there for that peak, right? Which is a day or two, right?
19 February
3 February
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Universe BoxTheir words
This is what it means to read a short story collection from an absolute master at the absolute peak of his powers. He can slide you frictionlessly between Icelandic troll tragedies to lethal drone-leopard romantic agonies to battles of the gods and the cigar box that has the universe inside of it. All with the lyricism of Bradbury, the madcap wit of Sturgeon, the unrelenting weirdness of Dick, the heart of Tiptree and the precision of Chiang.
21 January
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Their words
Exercise – 6 hours a week is ideal.
14 January
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Their words
Big flat toggle buttons under satisfying tension. Clear affordances. You push them down, not in. One click catches, one doesn't. You can use them with bare hands, oven mitts, fingers coated in slippery whatever. Doesn't matter. Plenty of surface area. Outstanding design. It's all been downhill from there.
28 November 2025
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Usestheir ownrcmnd.app
Pulsar MiniTheir words
In other words, I still use exactly the same recipe that I developed for the Pulsar when I brew with the mini, I just brew with a dose smaller by a factor 0.6 (e.g., 15 grams instead of 25).
3 July 2025
30 June 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Dominic Cummings SubstackTheir words
I find a dose of these perspectives highly valuable.
16 June 2025
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Their words
Shoulder generation (in late summer) of any given year is generally a higher share of global electricity demand than the peak generation (spring) of the year prior.
21 April 2025
13 January 2025
5 January 2025
16 June 2024
2 February 2024
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Their words
With an extra $10 billion over 10 years I’m pretty sure we’d get to 5 or 6 of the 10 on the list, and millions of unnecessary deaths would be prevented.
10 technologies that won't exist in 5 yearsblog.jacobtrefethen.com
28 November 2023
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Their words
And I notice that the tiny handful of people capable of caring about 200,000 people dying of neglected tropical diseases are the same tiny handful of people capable of caring about the next pandemic, or superintelligence, or human extinction.
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruismastralcodexten.com
30 October 2023
1 October 2023
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