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Kris Abdelmessih
x.com
Smart followers. Would love to see the same poll run on some other timelines.
followers timelines poll
The the words it uses that this site has seen
least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone —
nothing here is a summary of this one.
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Julia Evans
Donald Trump
Kun Chen
Thorsten Ball
Kris Abdelmessih
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20 September
Former L8 engineer at Meta, Microsoft and Atlassian, now writing and building solo on agentic engineering. Writes Kun's Field Notes and posts a lot about AI coding agents on X.
Working on @ampcode. Writing registerspill.thorstenball.com. Once authored interpreterbook.com and compilerbook.com.
This blew up beyond anything I expected. The responses are surprising too: 40% says that, duh, this is already the reality at my job. Yes, at mine too. Another 40% agrees with some adjustments and different timelines. Then 20% disagree. Of those that disagree, some, of course, call me an idiot and that I only build CRUD apps and so on. Not surprising, it's the Internet after all. But there are two other categories of criticism that I find fascinating. One is that people say I work on AI and that is why I would predict AI to take over. The shovel seller says you should dig, is the criticism. I… Quoting @thorstenball Most predictions I see are still way too conservative. Here's mine Related
19 September
President of the United States, the 45th from 2017 to 2021 and, as of 2026, the 47th; before politics a New York property developer who ran the Trump Organization, and the host of The Apprentice from 2004 to 2015.
Many people think that the words “Artificial Intelligence” are inaccurate, and very ineloquent, relative to AI, or Artificial Intelligence. A far more elegant and accurate description of this new phenomena would be Superior Intelligence (SI) or, Extreme Intelligence (EI) or, Supreme Intelligence (SI). This is a Poll, and I would appreciate everybody voting! Which is the best name for this ever growing “Revolution?” President DONALD J. TRUMP Related
17 September
Former options market maker who writes Moontower, a newsletter on trading, volatility, decision-making and how to think about risk outside markets too.
The option arbitrage stuff via yesterday's poll, @DeepDishEnjoyer dividend, and the silver early exercise post has spawned a bunch of chats on TL & DMs. Seems to be a lot of people screwing with options but missing fundamental education. Another first-principles type example: Related
Creator of Flask and Jinja. Writes about software at lucumr.pocoo.org.
Played around with Jev before I went to bed and I'm really impressed. It also fits so perfectly well for so many applications where traditional LLMs so far were just not viable for either speed or cost reasons. I bet we will see some fast followers. Quoting @CompleteSkeptic After co-inventing ChatGPT, I kept asking myself: why have superhuman chat models not led to AGI? I’ve spent the last 2 years in stealth building a new way to train models (RLCD), and a new type of frontier AI model that we are releasing today: Jev • 20-200x faster • 40-400x cheaper (w/ output toke… LLMs Related
14 September
Writes jvns.ca, turning "hard and scary" topics — networking, debugging, Linux internals — into plain explanations and hand-drawn comics. Publishes Wizard Zines, illustrated programming zines. Software developer based in Montreal.
poll: to look up the official documentation for "git pull", would you use: (you can pick more than one) documentation Related
9 September
Writes Don't Worry About the Vase, a near-daily account of what is happening in AI and what they think it means. Former Magic: the Gathering pro and trader; unusually willing to put a number on a belief and to grade their own past calls.
Their words
We could not possibly know that such a model is aligned. If that is all it takes to get a generation ahead of Astra, and we are willing to move this fast, these pauses in training are not going to end up meaning very much, time is even shorter than we knew
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thezvi.substack.com
4 September
Writes jvns.ca, turning "hard and scary" topics — networking, debugging, Linux internals — into plain explanations and hand-drawn comics. Publishes Wizard Zines, illustrated programming zines. Software developer based in Montreal.
poll: when you copy config files (or other important files) over SSH to a server, do you: Related
3 September
Investor and writer. Previously a partner at Andreessen Horowitz and a product leader at Twitter, Facebook, Snap and Microsoft. Writes essays and memos at sriramk.com.
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.
31 August
Technology writer and podcaster; former Macworld editor-in-chief, writes Six Colors and hosts podcasts on Relay FM and The Incomparable.
Congratulations to alix e. harrow for winning the Hugo for best novel and also, in a slightly less distinguished award nobody should care about, the Incomparable’s annual poll for our favorite Hugo/Nebula novel nominee. theincomparable.com
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25 August
Web standards author and speaker; wrote the CSS: The Definitive Guide series and co-founded the An Event Apart conference.
Pronunciation poll! Which of the following is the closest to how you pronounce “sherbet”? Related
21 August
Writes jvns.ca, turning "hard and scary" topics — networking, debugging, Linux internals — into plain explanations and hand-drawn comics. Publishes Wizard Zines, illustrated programming zines. Software developer based in Montreal.
poll: do you prefer examples with: (you can pick more than one, trying to think about what my opinions are about the use of placeholders in examples) EDIT: please no more comments about the official recommended values for ip addresses and hostnames in documentation, try to think about that as a separate question documentation Related
18 August
Writes jvns.ca, turning "hard and scary" topics — networking, debugging, Linux internals — into plain explanations and hand-drawn comics. Publishes Wizard Zines, illustrated programming zines. Software developer based in Montreal.
poll: when you first learned linux/unix, did you use (you can pick more than one): (not looking for extra details right now, I'm just reflecting on the role of "free internet resources" recently) Linux Related
Programmer and designer who writes at tonsky.me; author of Fira Code, DataScript and AnyBar.
13 August
Semiconductor analyst; writes Fabricated Knowledge on the chip industry and the companies in it.
7 August
Usability pioneer; co-founder of Nielsen Norman Group and founder of UX Tigers; author of the ten usability heuristics and of Jakob's Law.
20 July
Political scientist and Baptist pastor; writes Graphs about Religion, charting American religious life from survey data.
8 July
Journalist and author of The Art of Noticing; writes the newsletter The Art of Noticing (TAoN) on attention, creativity and the everyday.
20 June
President of the United States, the 45th from 2017 to 2021 and, as of 2026, the 47th; before politics a New York property developer who ran the Trump Organization, and the host of The Apprentice from 2004 to 2015.
POLL: ICE has been abused by the Fake News Media at levels never seen before. They are Great Patriots who work hard, and do a fantastic job in a very hostile environment. Much of this hostility is caused by the Dumocrats and the Fake News. The concept I have had for quite some time — A strong feeling that the name of these Patriots, “ICE,” should be changed to, “NICE,” in that it will totally discombobulate Crooked, Dishonest, and Unpatriotic Reporters and Journalists. For them to say, “We went to a NICE Facility today,” as opposed to “ICE” or, “NICE Agents have deported a Violent Drug Dealer… Related
4 June
Economist at Oxford's Global Priorities Institute; works on what advanced AI would do to growth, saving and the long-run economy.
AGI
Their words
I would prioritize trying to index, but just given how fast AI could, you know, hit the world. But, um I definitely wouldn't just rely on that because like it could the the sort of um messy middle type cases or the just a long timelines cases on which like you we don't get it anything like AGI all that soon.
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youtube.com
12 May
Freelance web developer and instructor. Author of the Dive Into Docker course; writes tutorials on Docker, deployment and development environments at nickjanetakis.com.
Over the last 3 months I lost 300 followers (about 10%). I wonder if these were bots. I feel like within the last year Twitter engagement has gone from quite good to almost nothing. It sometimes feels like I'm shadow banned. Has anyone noticed the same? Related
6 April
Cryptography engineer; maintains Go's cryptography libraries as a full-time open-source maintainer, funded directly by companies that use them.
13 March
Founder and chief analyst of SemiAnalysis; reports on semiconductor supply chains, AI datacentre economics and what the chip export controls actually do.
AGI America
Their words
But I don't know like I don't know what fast timelines means, right? Like I I like don't think you have to believe in AGI to have the timelines where the US wins.
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youtube.com
28 February
Genomics researcher and writer on science, biotech and the culture of research.
Their words
Even if AI can help design more effective drugs, timelines will not compress until we solve the operational and regulatory bottlenecks of trials.
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writingruxandrabio.com
13 February
Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic; previously VP of research at OpenAI.
Their words
given the serious dangers that I lay out in adolescence of technology around things like the you know, kind of biological weapons and bioterrorism, autonomy risk and the timelines we've been talking about, like 10 years is an eternity. Like that's that's a that's a I I think that's a crazy thing to do.
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youtube.com
5 October 2025
Engineer writing about the physical economy — oil and gas, manufacturing, batteries, drones and what it costs to build things.
12 September 2025
Professor at Berkeley working on robot learning; co-founded Physical Intelligence, and argues that robots will learn from data rather than be programmed.
Their words
So to me like what what I tend to think about a lot in terms of timelines is not the date when it will be done but the date when it will when like the flywheel starts basically.
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youtube.com
1 April 2025
Director of strategy at Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology; an OpenAI board member until November 2023, and writes Rising Tide.
20 July 2024
Investment researcher and engineer who runs Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, writing on macroeconomics, currency systems and equity analysis.
Nothing matches. Show everything
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