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Matthew Yglesias Newsletter
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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20 September
10 September
8 September
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Their words
If this is only due to gains in capabilities, that is extremely bad news, and it means CoT monitoring is unlikely to survive for another year unless we find a way to actively improve it, and it might not last six months.
6 September
5 September
3 September
1 September
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Their words
In this case, however, the agents did not copy their weights, attempt to procure replacement compute, or take other steps that would be rational to take if their objective was to survive shutdown. So while the agents in the OpenAI-Hugging Face Incident were rogue, they were not truly sovereign.
27 August
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korrents.com
Losing money periodically is a normal part of owning stocks, not a sign that something has gone wrong.Their words
Occasional downturns in the stock market are perfectly normal. You have to get used to losing money if you want to survive the stock market.
25 August
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korrents.com
Places where people must directly confront physical reality to survive are less susceptible to conspiracy theories.Their words
Conspiracy theories are just too dangerous in a place where everyone needs to grapple with actual reality in order to survive.
19 August
18 August
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Their words
If the UK is to survive water-starved summers in the future, it will need to build more reservoirs and plug holes in our existing pipelines at the same time.
The UK needs to build more reservoirshannahritchie.substack.com
17 August
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Their words
We took stock of the whole literature and asked is this really true? Is Ecman's claim really true? Can you tell how someone feels from their facial expression? And the answer is well not nearly as well as you would think and in general not.
10 August
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Their words
I mean, honestly, that's not so much a tech problem. It's more a token problem where we could do that today, but you wouldn't get very far with your subscription and not everyone is willing to spend so many tokens.
29 July
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Their words
I predict that in the next 10 years software development will survive, but it will become like any other white-collar professional work. No more $200,000 salaries, unlimited vacation, or incredible employee bargaining power.
21 July
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Lovedrcmnd.app
How to Survive Boiling WaterTheir words
"How to Survive Boiling Water" is a quintessential effort post. Cook accidentally drinks some probiotic tea, and then she's like, wait, how could "probiotic tea" possibly be a thing?
12 July
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Their words
Few institutions that predated the internet will survive the internet.
1 July
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korrents.com
Companies protected by high switching costs will see those costs fall to zero, and their profits with them.Their words
Okay. So now we have people who've been able to rely on switching costs to protect their profits and the switching costs just drop to zero. Their profits are going to drop to zero and and some people aren't going to survive that change.
30 June
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korrents.com
Today's level of city living depends on cheap fossil fuels and is unlikely to survive without them.Their words
However, in our non-ideal biophysical reality, present levels of urbanism are unlikely to be sustainable without cheap fossil fuels, and the human cost of that could be horrific unless we address it urgently.
7 June
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Their words
So, you know, like what's called fast fashion, we got fast software. But software, if you're going to build a real company, can't be throwaway.
13 May
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Their words
And everyone was cognizant of okay, if someone comes up with a new idea, now it's our job to try to shoot it down. What What's wrong with this idea? Do Do you know what I mean? And if it could go if it could stand the the test of of that, then it was probably a decent idea.
10 May
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Their words
Files force the agent to compress experience into a form that can survive the thread.
8 May
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Their words
Your fat store from, you know, the latest hunt is not going to carry you through to the famine 3 years later. And so survival of famines is a different thing than building up body fat for being able to survive 2 weeks later.
28 April
1 April
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Their words
none of us wanted to go through that extreme but lots of time when you are under a lot of pressure and no time to react other than just to survive that scale that keep on coming at you, you have to make uh decision that increase uh speed and velocity because speed and velocity allow us to build quick enough to survive
29 March
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korrents.com
People no longer read books the way books assume they will — they jump around, whatever they tell the author.Their words
Like I I write books and as much I wish that books as a format will be like will survive. I do think that people don't read books the same way anymore.
2 March
From one piece Back To The Garden 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
That now ubiquitous timeline names eras after the inorganic materials that happened to survive in the dirt.
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Their words
archeologists naturally build their interpretations of human history out of artifacts that survive the passage of deep time.
12 February
From one piece OpenClaw: The Viral AI Agent that Broke the Internet - Peter Steinberger | Lex Fridman Podcast #491 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
But then you actually sit down and do the maths, and then for most people if you just skip one burger per month, that compensates the, the CO2 output, or, like, the water use in equivalent of tokens.
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Their words
I- I can relate that if you very deeply identify that you are a programmer, that it's scary and that it's threatening because what you like and what you're really good at is now being done by a soulless or not entity. But I don't think you're just a programmer. That's a very limiting view of your craft. You are, you are still a builder.
7 January
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Made to Stick: Why Some Ideas Survive and Others DieTheir words
The instant classic about why some ideas thrive, why others die, and how to improve your idea’s chances.
1 January
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Their words
And so many behaviors are like that. It's like, well, did you want it or not? You know, like in the one sense, you wanted it so bad that you would check it every 3 minutes when it was next to you, but in another sense, you never wanted it bad enough that you would work for 30 seconds and walk down the hall to get it. And so, a little bit of friction can sometimes go a long way in shaping a behavior.
12 December 2025
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korrents.com
The ark was never built; it is a literary construction out of the fact that the people who survived were in boats.Their words
I think it’s a literary construction out of the reality that people who did survive were on boats.
25 November 2025
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Their words
Because of how source survival works, or indeed, how architectural survival works, we are often encouraged to think of the past as a place populated entirely by the wealthy elite.
11 October 2025
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Their words
So AI consumes approximately 0.04% of America’s freshwater if you include onsite and offsite use, and only 0.008% if you include just the water in data centers.
4 September 2025
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Their words
But I'm being obviously overly facetious, but if ultimately part of your scaling is how big is the animal versus how big is its brain, that's most of a T-Rex brain. It's a fraction of the size of a chimp brain, and chimps don't weigh seven tons.
27 August 2025
23 July 2025
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Their words
Shouldn't it be something more like Minority Report where you are sort of vibing with it in a kind of collaborative way? It seems very restricted today. I think we'll look back on today's interfaces and products and systems as quite archaic in maybe in just a couple of years.
16 July 2025
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Their words
if you look at the history of banks from up until 2007, a lot of banks were earning 30% equity. Most of them went bankrupt. We never did that much. Okay, but in '08 and '09, we were fine, and they weren't.
15 April 2025
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Their words
So a lot of the problem is mere herding: If every other top engineering program is using the GRE, it’s too weird to require a different test even if the alternative test is a far superior selection mechanism.
23 March 2025
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Their words
And that's why when you have a missionritical product like email where you are interfacing with customers with candidates with investors it turns out to really matter. Email is mission critical. So it's not something where you can simply launch with a halfbaked product.
10 November 2024
From one piece Human Driving Increases Transportation Cost 10x 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Humans being awful drivers leads to a massive increase in vehicle costs and weight, makes cars more dangerous to people outside of them, and imposes significant costs on infrastructure like roads.
Human Driving Increases Transportation Cost 10xaustinvernon.site
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Their words
It should be possible to decrease the weight of a car by 10x without sacrificing speed or internal volume.
Human Driving Increases Transportation Cost 10xaustinvernon.site
30 September 2024
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korrents.com
We are wasting our time trying to reverse the climate crisis instead of building the technology to survive it.Their words
I think you have some guys that have their finger on the pulse there. We need to start thinking about how we’re going to survive this, not that we’re going to make it go away.
21 August 2024
30 April 2024
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korrents.com
Debt is best understood as narrowing the range of outcomes you can survive, not as a cost of capital.Their words
I think this is the most practical way to think about debt: As debt increases, you narrow the range of outcomes you can endure in life.
22 April 2024
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Their words
Sometimes people think that complexity or life or whatever is fighting against the second law of thermodynamics, fighting against the increase of entropy. That is precisely the wrong way to think about it. We are surfers riding the wave of increasing entropy. We rely on increasing entropy to survive.
9 March 2024
17 February 2024
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Their words
After that, I think you have to be left with software that serves a deep and hard-to-replace purpose in people's lives.
14 July 2023
29 June 2023
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Their words
I think we’re going to build super intelligence before we build any sort of robustness in the AI. We cannot build an AI that is capable of going out into nature and surviving like a bird. A bird is an incredibly robust organism. We’ve built nothing like this. We haven’t built a machine that’s capable of reproducing.
22 June 2023
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Their words
Thus, the 2nd UI paradigm will survive, albeit in a less dominant role. Future AI systems will likely have a hybrid user interface that combines elements of both intent-based and command-based interfaces while still retaining many GUI elements.
AI Is First New UI Paradigm in 60 Yearsjakobnielsenphd.substack.com
10 June 2022
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korrents.com
There is no written plan for surviving AGI, and a world that was going to survive would have had one decades ago.Their words
Surviving worlds, by this point, and in fact several decades earlier, have a plan for how to survive.
28 January 2022
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Their words
But whereas other Roman institutions didn’t survive the collapse of Roman political authority, the Church as an institution very much did.
26 April 2018
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