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Miles Brundage Newsletter
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13 September
12 September
6 September
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korrents.com
No lab has solved alignment and monitoring well enough to keep scaling at maximum speed much longer.Their words
Currently I believe that no lab has solved alignment and monitoring to a sufficient degree to continue responsibly scaling at maximum speed for much longer.
1 September
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Their words
This is the sole intrinsic thing about AI that prevents agents from truly infinite self-replication. They will be constrained by the need to find and pay for sufficient compute to run themselves.
26 August
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Their words
maybe performance could be part of a package where you try to take on one of those players. like, hey, look at how much more responsive our thing is than theirs. Might be a nice plus, but that's not going to be sufficient.
19 August
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Their words
By 2027, almost every country-and every non-state group with sufficient computing power-will have the ability to download open-weight models even more powerful than the ones that attacked Hugging Face and use them for whatever they like.
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Their words
you want to get to a point where you know, your your machine, your org is self-sufficient enough that you know, you just need to occasionally tap the blimp, make sure that things are working. You can course correct if it's not, but that frees you up to then focus on the next important sets of problems that the org needs to, you know, tackle heads on.
11 August
From one piece Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And so basically everything that we can verify reasonably well with some feedback loop, the AIS are doing pretty well on. And that's sufficient to make AR and D go quite fast and to continue. But there's some parts of of developing uh aligned and safe AIs that are more subtle, hard to check, depend on, you know, detailed in the weeds things.
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Their words
One concern you might have is there are like large categories of reward hacks which humans can't detect well and which we consistently fail to detect and which consistently get reinforced and then this category is sufficient to cause the most natural behavior for the AI to learn to be like cheat when the humans can't find out
2 June
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Their words
Most business advice is necessary but not sufficient on its own to achieve success.
16 May
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korrents.com
Larger language models already have enough capacity that extra per-layer embedding tricks add little benefit to them.Their words
However, larger models already have sufficient capacity where these extra embeddings may not help that much.
26 April
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korrents.com
Network effects are not a sufficient moat, because software features get copied however many patents you hold.Their words
network effects are certainly an important piece of the puzzle for sure, um but I don't think they're enough when it comes to these sorts of software uh you know, software cloning.
7 April
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Their words
Um and so, it's not a big leap to realize, "Oh, we have a big problem here." Um and so, you know, that's kind of the that's the forcing function there. It's it's you've realized that your old explanation is not sufficient. You need something new.
1 January
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Their words
we will always have salespeople, but being a people person is not enough anymore.
19 August 2025
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Their words
I'm more agnostic about the best techniques, things like sparse autoencoders are a useful tool, but easy to waste effort using when a simpler method is sufficient or better - start by doing the obvious thing!
18 June 2025
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Their words
the current situation in Iran shows that even if an "IAEA for AI" is necessary for some purposes, it won't be sufficient for resolving the tricky geopolitical issues raised by AI.
15 February 2025
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Their words
Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow.
22 December 2024
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korrents.com
A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away.Their words
So, trying to establish a base on Mars it's going to be so hard that it is not even going to be close to being self-sufficient for a couple a century at least. So, it's not like a backup plan now, we have to solve the problem of climate change, we have to deal with that.
13 May 2024
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korrents.com
A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic.Their words
For now, I am not convinced that issuing press releases about your compounds that talk about their discovery through AI techniques is sufficient to expect greater things from them.
26 October 2023
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Their words
Without sufficient caution, we may irreversibly lose control of autonomous AI systems, rendering human intervention ineffective. Large-scale cybercrime, social manipulation, and other harms could escalate rapidly. This unchecked AI advancement could culminate in a large-scale loss of life and the biosphere, and the marginalization or extinction of humanity.
31 August 2022
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