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Mathematician and Senior Lecturer in the Mathematics department at Columbia University. Author of the book Not Even Wrong and of the long-running physics blog of the same name.

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  Cumrun Vafa's 'dark dimension' torsion balance experiment does not amount to a genuine testable prediction of string theory.

  economists

  Their words

  This is complete nonsense, a shame that The Economist has been taken in by it.

  This Week’s Hypemath.columbia.edu

Behavioural economist at Chicago Booth, professor of behavioural science and economics and director of AGI economics at Google DeepMind.

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  Individual economists' forecasts about AI and the labour market are close to worthless, and aggregated forecasts from prediction markets should replace them.

  AI and jobseconomists

  Their words

  rather than thinking about individual forecasts like what me and Phil are going to do, rather looking at kind of like basically generating prediction markets, where you get aggregate forecasts, where you get like kind of wisdom of the crowd effects. And kind of the reason that I think this is because we have been famously terrible at forecasting.

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Vice chairman of Ogilvy & Mather Group, the advertising agency; author of Alchemy (2019) and the Wiki Man columnist at The Spectator.

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  Competition that removes differentiation makes everyone worse off, because it assumes people already know what they want.

  economists

  Their words

  economists have this fantasy of the world of companies in direct competition driving down price and increasing efficiency while supplying the same thing which is based on a false premise that people know what they want to begin with. Now I would argue when you don't create differentiation, everybody suffers.

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Economics professor at George Mason University and author of The Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, The Case Against Education and Open Borders. Writes Bet On It.

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  College is not a good career investment for most of the population.

  economists

  Their words

  Despite misleading statements by mainstream education economists, college attendance in particular is not a good career investment for most of the population.

  Selfishly Speaking, Who Should Skip College?betonit.ai

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  The sharp steepening of the long end of the yield curve in 2023 was not predicted by economists, including forecasters who had modelled persistently low safe rates.

  inflationeconomists

  Their words

  It is fair to say that, while economists expected the short end of the yield curve to reflect the higher rates needed to win the fight against inflation, the sharply steeper long end of the yield curve in the last few months has come as a surprise. I shall freely admit that I did not predict it.

  piie.com

Co-founder of Netscape and of the venture firm Andreessen Horowitz. Argues at length for building things, mostly in short form.

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  Technology is a lever on the world -- the way to make more with less -- and productivity growth is the main driver of wages, industries and jobs.

  economists

  Their words

  We believe technology is a lever on the world – the way to make more with less. Economists measure technological progress as productivity growth: How much more we can produce each year with fewer inputs, fewer raw materials. Productivity growth, powered by technology, is the main driver of economic growth, wage growth, and the creation of new industries and new jobs, as people and capital are continuously freed to do more important, valuable things than in the past.

  The Techno-Optimist Manifestoa16z.com

Economist at George Mason University, co-author of Marginal Revolution, host of Conversations with Tyler. Writes in short, dense claims about economics, culture and AI, and has moved position on AI in public more than once.

From one piece GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter? 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there

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  John Maynard Keynes is best understood as a British aesthete rationalist who did economics in his spare time, not primarily as an economist.

  economists

  Their words

  I don’t view Keynes primarily as an economist, rather I see him as a British aesthete rationalist who did economics in his spare time, and fortunately he had lots of spare time.

  tylercowen.com

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  Hayek's three best economics articles surpass the three best articles from any other economist.

  economists

  Their words

  Hayek’s three best articles are better than any three articles from any other economist.

  tylercowen.com

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  An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not merely a separate moral failing.

  economists

  Their words

  It is a sign that Hayek was not so great at seeing the viewpoints of other people, and that (political moralizing aside) also should count as a weakness of him as an economist and social scientist.

  tylercowen.com

+ 2 more

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  Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus.

  economists

  Their words

  Of all the contenders for GOAT, Smith seems to be clearly the worst economist, with the possible exception of Malthus.

  tylercowen.com

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  Milton Friedman was the best economist among the plausible candidates for greatest economist of all time.

  economists

  Their words

  Friedman has one big factor in his favor, namely that he is clearly the best economist on the list of contending names.

  tylercowen.com

Economist; Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy at Harvard, nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute, and Chairman of the US Council of Economic Advisers from 2013 to 2017.

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  Streets of Gold: America's Untold Story of Immigrant Success

  Their words

  Absolutely. It is incredibly enjoyable and readable. The authors, in a way that is very rare for economists, find small stories that paint big pictures for the points they make.

  fivebooks.com

Founded CD Baby in 1998 and sold it in 2008, giving the proceeds to a charitable trust for music education. Since then a writer and speaker: five books and 550+ articles, published first at sive.rs, which they hand-code and keep free of advertising.

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  Wild Problems

  Their words

  How to improve your HUGE major life decisions, like whether/who to marry, whether to have kids, where to live, career paths, and such — where you can’t use the usual checklist/data approach. This economist addresses self-identity, “deepest self”, and “something I was meant to do”. You can’t use a pro/con checklist with an item that says “lose respect for myself”.

  sive.rs

Co-founder, chairman and chief investment officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management. Hosts the Masters in Business podcast for Bloomberg and wrote How NOT to Invest.

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  Rockonomics: A Backstage Tour of What the Music Industry Can Teach Us about Economics and Life

  Their words

  Alan B. Krueger, Rockonomics: A Backstage Tour of What the Music Industry Can Teach Us about Economics and Life: From the economist who revealed the secrets of the minimum wage comes this look at the economics of the music industry. Its disruptions by technology to economics of songwriting and concert tours, the music industry offers important financial lessons. Kreuger, an economic rock star himself (he was former chairman of the president’s Council of Economic Advisers) left us far too soon.

  ritholtz.com

Australian moral philosopher, Professor of Bioethics emeritus at Princeton University; author of Animal Liberation, Practical Ethics and The Life You Can Save.

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  Phenomenology of Spirit

  Their words

  In order to understand Marx, you really do need to know something about Hegel. It's a mistake to think you could read Marx as a scientist or an economist without understanding the Hegelian framework of his thought. That's why I chose to begin with Hegel.

  fivebooks.com

Programmer; builds Mac and iOS apps, wrote WatermelonDB, and writes about tools, focus and software craft.

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  Narconomics

  Their words

  If you’ve enjoyed Narcos, you’ll like this book. The world of drugs, cartels, gangs, violence, and prisons looked at from the perspective of an economist.

  radex.io

British-Ghanaian philosopher, Professor of Philosophy and Law at New York University; author of Cosmopolitanism, The Honor Code and The Lies That Bind.

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  The Economy of Esteem

  Their words

  This is a book by a philosopher and an economist about a topic that was neglected for a very long time in social analysis. So there's lots about it in the 18th century – Adam Smith and people like that – and it's about how esteem, which is their word for the respect that you give to people who have achieved things against a certain standard, can be used to motivate people to do good things.

  fivebooks.com

Economist; Ronald A. Kurtz Professor of Entrepreneurship at MIT Sloan, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, and co-author of 13 Bankers and Power and Progress.

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  Why Nations Fail

  Their words

  Why Nations Fail is by two of my favourite economists, two very close friends and co-authors of mine, Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson. They're tackling a subject that I've worked on with them, and they do a great job of bringing it to life and making it vivid.

  fivebooks.com

Professor of finance at NYU's Stern School of Business, known for his work on valuation. He publishes his data, spreadsheets and classes free at Damodaran Online and writes the Musings on Markets blog.

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  What Investors Really Want

  Their words

  Meir Statman, one of my favorite behavioral economists, has written a great book on how investors can overcome their base urges and make better decisions:

  aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com