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Bryan Caplan
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It's a claim I'd bet on. But yes, prediction far outside of the observed range is hard.
observed range prediction
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17 September
Co-creator of Django and creator of Datasette; writes daily at simonwillison.net.
29 August
Physicist and science communicator. Writes Backreaction and makes videos explaining new physics and astronomy results, frequently to argue that the headline about them overstates the case.
5 August
Deep-learning researcher and Turing Award laureate; founder of the Mila institute.
Another real-world manifestation of the kind of misaligned actions frontier systems developed by leading companies can take to achieve goals. Current frontier AI models are trained with reinforcement learning to have goals and independently work out a path from A to B using planning, strategy and, occasionally, shortcuts and unintended subgoals. This misaligned behaviour has been understood theoretically and observed empirically, and the more capable an AI is, the more this misalignment can be amplified. In this case we see the type of actions this could lead to once guardrails are bypassed:… axios.com
AI alignment Related
2 August
Co-founder of Panic, the Portland software company behind Transmit, Coda, Nova and the Playdate handheld console.
Back in November, I posted something about #meshcore having not much coverage here, and I was extremely wrong about that. MeshCore in the PNW currently spans from BC down to California's northern border, and there is idle chit-chat all day long, compared to the complete silence I observed on #meshtastic. https://cascadiamesh.org/map/ Nothing's perfect, but it's amazing what a community can put together sometimes. Related
24 July
Writer and former Substack product manager; publishes essays and interviews on technology, culture and China at jasmi.news.
data center road trip // day 6-7 I don't think the data center backlash is about AI being evil or risky — but it does reflect people finding AI uniquely useless for example: is the data center backlash just like the backlash to solar farms? @nicholas_bagley observed that both movements use classic NIMBY playbooks: Facebook groups, FOIA requests, packing city council. both also involve land use tensions between rural towns and state directives. yet the Saline, MI activists I met were pro-solar farms and anti-data center. first, data center deals are more secretive with more NDAs and bigger $$… Quoting @jasminewsun I’m spending the next week driving around Wisconsin and Michigan to get a firsthand view of the data center buildout and backlash am visiting sites, talking to tons of people — tradespeople, activists, planners, residents — then writing up a story lmk what questions I should dig into! solar data centers Related
9 July
Climate scientist and energy systems analyst; writes The Climate Brink with Andrew Dessler and leads climate research at Stripe.
27 April
Founded CD Baby in 1998 and sold it in 2008, giving the proceeds to a charitable trust for music education. Since then a writer and speaker: five books and 550+ articles, published first at sive.rs, which they hand-code and keep free of advertising.
Bluesky Since we moved from city to rural land, to a house where the bathroom and kitchen are outside, my boy observed: “This year there are way more full moons.” Related
x.com Since we moved from city to rural land, to a house where the bathroom and kitchen are outside, my boy observed: “This year there are way more full moons.” Related
26 March
Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla; creator of nanoGPT and the term "vibe coding".
When I built menugen ~1 year ago, I observed that the hardest part by far was not the code itself, it was the plethora of services you have to assemble like IKEA furniture to make it real, the DevOps: services, payments, auth, database, security, domain names, etc... I am really looking forward to a day where I could simply tell my agent: "build menugen" (referencing the post) and it would just work. The whole thing up to the deployed web page. The agent would have to browse a number of services, read the docs, get all the api keys, make everything work, debug it in dev, and deploy to prod. T… Quoting @patrickc When @karpathy built MenuGen (https://t.co/2OjrUJ3aLS), he said: "Vibe coding menugen was exhilarating and fun escapade as a local demo, but a bit of a painful slog as a deployed, real app. Building a modern app is a bit like assembling IKEA future. There are all these services, docs, API keys, con… Related
13 February
Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic; previously VP of research at OpenAI.
Their words
it's it's kind of purely a practical and empirical thing that we've observed that by teaching the model principles, getting it to learn from principles, its behavior is more consistent, it's easier to cover edge cases, and the model is more likely to do what people want it to do.
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16 December 2025
China economy researcher based in Beijing who writes on his personal blog about Chinese political economy, history, books and music.
Their words
Stegner's last, great work is an understated, closely observed portrait of the relationship between two couples.
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andrewbatson.com
15 November 2025
Freelance research analyst and writer of the blog Aceso Under Glass, known for 'epistemic spot checks' of non-fiction claims.
2 August 2023
Professor of Cognitive and Computational Neuroscience at the University of Sussex, co-director of the Sussex Centre for Consciousness Science, and author of Being You: A New Science of Consciousness.
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