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Climate scientist and energy systems analyst; writes The Climate Brink with Andrew Dessler and leads climate research at Stripe.

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  A warming climate and retreating glaciers are raising the risk of Himalayan ice-and-rock collapses regardless of whether any single event can be attributed to it.

  Their words

  A rapidly warming climate and retreating glaciers are increasing risks of these sorts of events in the region, whether or not we can ultimately attribute this particular event.

  theclimatebrink.com

Writer and consultant on formal methods and software correctness; author of Practical TLA+ and Logic for Programmers.

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  Engineers are sceptical of formal methods because they were burned by CASE and UML, sold as miracle solutions and imposed on them regardless of fit.

  Their words

  I think a lot of the reason people are skeptical of these is because they've been burned by things like case and UML and all these other miracle solutions that were forced on them by people who wanted them to use it no matter what.

  Formal methods with Hillel Wayneyoutube.com

Writer and teacher on productivity and personal knowledge management. Author of Building a Second Brain and founder of Forte Labs, which runs the course of the same name.

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  Language models cannot hold a genuine perspective or take a stand for what they believe.

  LLMs

  Their words

  But for LLMs, it shows that they have no skin in the game and will never take a stand for what they believe in regardless of what it costs. They are perspective generators, not perspective holders.

  fortelabs.com

Novelist and critic, author of The Body Scout and Metallic Realms; writes the newsletter Counter Craft on fiction craft and the publishing industry.

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  Nearly all fiction works through a balance of repetition and difference.

  Their words

  Regardless of genre or style, nearly all fiction works through a balancing act of repetition and difference.

  Principles of Plotting Part III: Variationcountercraft.substack.com

Writer and former Substack product manager; publishes essays and interviews on technology, culture and China at jasmi.news.

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  The AI backlash can only be resolved peacefully through a flagship policy that addresses public fears and redistributes AI's economic gains, not by pushing ahead regardless.

  Their words

  That's why I don't think accelerationist steamrolling will work. The only way this conflict resolves peacefully is some kind of grand bargain: a flagship policy plan that directly addresses the public's top fears about AI and meaningfully redistributes the gains.

  🌻 AI populism's warning shotsjasmi.news

Writer and illustrator, author of Am I There Yet? and Out of the Blue; writes the newsletter Out of the Blue on grief, joy and everyday attention.

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  Charlotte Tilbury

  Their words

  My two favorite brands are Charlotte Tilbury for specialness and Tower 28 for everydayness. Charlotte Tilbury is dreamy, feminine, and princess-y, with lots of pinks and browns (wore her for my wedding!).

  mariandrew.substack.com

Cognitive scientist and long-standing critic of deep learning's claims; writes Marcus on AI and wrote Rebooting AI.

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  A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.

  AGILLMs

  Their words

  What the Apple paper shows, most fundamentally, regardless of how you define AGI, is that LLMs are no substitute for good well-specified conventional algorithms.

  A knockout blow for LLMs?garymarcus.substack.com

Senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation; writes Second Best, and was the Niskanen Center's director of social policy before that.

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  Text embeddings produced by different large language models converge on a shared, universal geometric structure regardless of architecture or training data.

  LLMs

  Their words

  the text embeddings across LLMs appear to largely converge on a "universal geometry" despite differing architectures, parameter counts, and training sets.

  Hegel and the AI Mindsecondbest.ca

Structural engineer and senior infrastructure fellow at the Institute for Progress; writes Construction Physics on why physical things cost what they cost.

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  The binding constraint on building anything in America is permitting and litigation, not money.

  America

  Their words

  Political costs and civic opposition will often make a technology unviable regardless of how the dollars and cents add up.

  Why we stopped building subways cheaplyworksinprogress.news

Machine learning engineer working on recommender systems, personalization and information retrieval. Previously worked on LLMs and LLM infrastructure at Mozilla.ai and on ML and recsys at Duo, Tumblr, Automattic and Comcast; wrote the 'What are embeddings?' text and ran the Normconf conference.

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  Olga Dies Dreaming

  Their words

  Olga Dies Dreaming by Xochitl Gonzalez - Olga grows up in the Puerto Rican community in New York and becomes enormously successful as a wedding planner, but cannot manage her own relationships

  vickiboykis.com

Professor at Carnegie Mellon working on self-driving-car safety; writes Safe Autonomy on how autonomous vehicles are and are not shown to be safe.

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  A carmaker's claim to be the safest is mostly an artefact of comparing a new car against a fleet average twelve years old.

  Their words

  Any true safety improvement for Tesla is good to have, but is much more likely due to comparison against an "average" vehicle (12 years old in the US) which is much less safe than any recent high-end vehicle regardless of manufacturer, and probably not driven on roads as safe on average as where Teslas are more popular.

  safeautonomy.blogspot.com