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Economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley and a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury. Author of Slouching Towards Utopia and writer of the Grasping Reality newsletter.

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  In a conflict, a coherent weaker actor tends to prevail over an incoherent stronger one.

  Their words

  In a contest between a coherent weak actor and an incoherent strong one, bet on coherence.

  braddelong.substack.com

Economist specialising in global income inequality; formerly lead economist in the World Bank research department, now at the CUNY Graduate Center and author of the Global Inequality and More newsletter.

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  The more one believes AI may cause unspecified unpredictable problems, the stronger the case for state control of it.

  Their words

  The more we believe that IA may cause non-specified and unpredictable problems, the stronger the argument for its control by the state.

  branko2f7.substack.com

Prime Minister of Canada since March 2025; formerly governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England.

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  Forward Guidance

  Their words

  Watch the new edition of Forward Guidance: https://t.co/75rhccwqIC https://t.co/TdMhw6rXBQ

  x.com

Mathematician at UCLA, working mainly in harmonic analysis and partial differential equations. Writes What's new, a long-running blog on their research, open problems and expository notes.

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  The unwritten goals of mathematics must be made explicit, and examining and codifying them will leave the community stronger and more resilient.

  Their words

  I argue that it will become necessary to make these unwritten goals of mathematics much more explicit; but once we have thoroughly examined and codified them, our community will emerge stronger and more resilient than before.

  Mathematics in the age of AIarxiv.org

Co-founder and former chief executive of Uber, now chief executive of CloudKitchens and of Adams, an industrial AI company automating food, mining and transport.

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  Being pissed off is what makes an entrepreneur good, and getting used to adversity dulls the edge that comes with it.

  Their words

  There are things you don't get like like I'm like so used to adversity at this point that it's kind of normal. So I don't get as pissed off. But being pissed off makes you good as an entrepreneur.

  youtube.com

Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade. Came back from a break to work on AI agents — the OpenClaw project, and OpenAI, joined in February 2026. Writes at steipete.me.

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  Most security reports an open-source project receives are agent-generated and untested, and the defence is publishing what you guarantee and what lies outside your security boundary.

  Their words

  And most of them really sent reports that their agent produced without actually even testing it. I would I would take a stronger sense of explaining what are the parts that we guarantee and what are the parts that will not be fixed because that that's not our security boundary.

  Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

Rust engineer at Google working on Android; maintains Tokio and works on Rust in the Linux kernel.

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  The case for Rust is stronger against C++ than against JavaScript, because in C++ an ordinary mistake is usually a security vulnerability.

  JavaScript

  Their words

  So, here I actually think it's even stronger. The thing with C++ is that if you make a mistake, right, in in JavaScript, maybe you take down your server, which is already bad enough, but in C++ when you make a mistake there, now it's actually a security vulnerability most of the time.

  Why Rust is different, with Alice Ryhlyoutube.com

Writes Very Serious, a newsletter on politics, the economy and culture, and hosts the podcast of the same name.

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  Stronger enforcement against tax and benefit cheating would raise social trust in government.

  government

  Their words

  It would behoove politicians to take cheating more seriously, because better enforcement would improve social trust

  Stop Microlooting the Tax Codejoshbarro.com

Economist at George Mason University, co-author of Marginal Revolution, host of Conversations with Tyler. Writes in short, dense claims about economics, culture and AI, and has moved position on AI in public more than once.

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  Preparing for War: The Making of the Geneva Conventions

  Their words

  A very good look at the negotiations behind the Geneva Conventions of 1949 and just how driven by national self-interest they were, including colonial motives from the major colonial powers, who wished to retain stronger rights to put down uprisings.

  marginalrevolution.com

Software engineer who writes about low-level and systems programming at nullprogram.com; author of the Elfeed feed reader, the Endlessh SSH tarpit and Enchive.

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  Frontier AI models still cannot handle certain deep technical implementation details without human guidance

  Their words

  This took some special care, in particular avoiding any C++ standard library I/O functionality. Current frontier AI cannot handle this detail on their own.

  dcmake: a new CMake debugger UInullprogram.com

Founder and chief analyst of SemiAnalysis; reports on semiconductor supply chains, AI datacentre economics and what the chip export controls actually do.

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  Evacuating TSMC's engineers and destroying its fabs would leave China with the strongest semiconductor supply chain in the world.

  China

  Their words

  Um, just shipping out all the engineers and blowing up the fabs means China has a stronger semiconductor supply chain than the rest of the world, right?

  youtube.com

Founded CD Baby in 1998 and sold it in 2008, giving the proceeds to a charitable trust for music education. Since then a writer and speaker: five books and 550+ articles, published first at sive.rs, which they hand-code and keep free of advertising.

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  Solving a problem yourself, without searching or prompting, is a form of exercise -- the help makes you weaker.

  Their words

  My brain feels stronger because I work through the problem instead of prompting it away.

  Offline 23 hours a daysive.rs

Senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation; writes Second Best, and was the Niskanen Center's director of social policy before that.

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  People who extrapolate from first-principles models have a stronger track record predicting AI progress than those who wait for empirical proof.

  Their words

  Extrapolators have a remarkable track record in the AI field, being repeatedly early to trends and capabilities that empiricists believed were still decades away.

  Empiricists vs. Extrapolatorssecondbest.ca

Data scientist at Our World in Data and author of Not the End of the World. Writes By the Numbers, working through energy and climate questions with the numbers in front of them, and revising in public when they say something unexpected.

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  Blanket fatalism about the world is unhelpful to anyone who wants to improve it.

  Their words

  But I do believe that deep-seated, blanket fatalism (which is stronger than pessimism) about our countries, systems and world is unhelpful if we want to improve things.

  sustainabilitybynumbers.com

Mac and iOS developer at the Iconfactory, where he has worked on apps including Twitterrific and Tot. He writes about development at furbo.org.

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  The brain cannot process more than one source of pain at a time, so a stronger pain masks a weaker one.

  Their words

  It turns out the brain can't handle more than one pain input at a time - the broken ribs put the nerve pain on the back burner.

  The Year That Kicked My Assfurbo.org

China economy researcher based in Beijing who writes on his personal blog about Chinese political economy, history, books and music.

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  China's stronger local-level state capacity than India's helps explain their diverging long-run economic performance.

  China

  Their words

  On this measure, state capacity at the local level looks much stronger in China than in India, which helps explain some of the long-running economic differences between them.

  andrewbatson.com

Co-founder of the AI agent company Sierra, and previously an eighteen-year Google executive who ran product for Workspace, virtual and augmented reality, and Google Labs.

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  A coding agent left to run over a weekend returns work that is half good, a quarter garbage and a quarter in need of repair.

  Their words

  And it came back and half of them were great, a quarter of them were total garbage and a quarter needed some work. But like it was, you know, in a way him working the entire weekend with, you know, guidance from him.

  youtube.com

Anthropologist; wrote Genghis Khan and the Making of the Modern World and The Secret History of the Mongol Queens.

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  Settled civilizations only improve inside a fixed way of doing things; Genghis Khan had no fixed way of thinking, and that is why he could absorb any technology he met.

  Their words

  I think that sedentary armies, sedentary civilizations, they get stuck in ways, this is how we do it. And we're going to make it a little faster, we're going to make it a little bigger, a little stronger but this is how we think. Genghis Khan had no set way to think and, when he encountered the first walled cities around 1209 after founding his nation in 1206, he went out on these raids and I really think there were raids not wars at first.

  youtube.com

Professor at Wharton studying how people actually use AI, and author of Co-Intelligence. Writes One Useful Thing, where the claims are dated and testable because the thing they describe keeps changing under them.

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  Veo 3

  Their words

  Generally, ChatGPT is stronger. On video creation, however, Gemini’s Veo 3 is very impressive, and you get several free uses a day

  oneusefulthing.org

Independent AI policy researcher; led policy research at OpenAI from 2018 to 2024, latterly as senior adviser for AGI readiness.

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  Strong whistleblower protections make the absence of visible whistleblowing meaningful evidence that a company is not committing flagrant violations.

  Their words

  The stronger such policies are, the more "absence of evidence" (lack of visible whistleblowing or lawsuits) can become "evidence of absence" (regarding flagrant violations).

  milesbrundage.substack.com

Writer and former McKinsey/BCG strategy consultant; author of The Pathless Path and Good Work, about leaving the default career track. Publishes the Boundless newsletter and podcast.

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  The Art of Gig, Volume 1: Foundations

  Their words

  An unconventional guide to the craft of indie consulting and life in the gig economy, mixing philosophy, pattern language, and very practical guidance for building a client-based solo career.

  pathlesspath.com

Usability pioneer; co-founder of Nielsen Norman Group and founder of UX Tigers; author of the ten usability heuristics and of Jakob's Law.

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  Making coding easy makes design more critical, not less: when anyone can produce working features, the quality of the experience is what sets products apart.

  Their words

  In a vibe coding future, companies will hopefully invest more in understanding user needs, refining the interface, and polishing details that delight users, because those are harder for AI to get right without guidance.

  Vibe Coding and Vibe Designjakobnielsenphd.substack.com

Cryptographer; teaches cryptography at Johns Hopkins and writes A Few Thoughts on Cryptographic Engineering.

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  Telegram is not an encrypted messenger in the sense that matters, because it does not end-to-end encrypt conversations by default.

  Their words

  Telegram clearly fails to meet this stronger definition for a simple reason: it does not end-to-end encrypt conversations by default.

  Is Telegram really an encrypted messaging app?blog.cryptographyengineering.com

Founder of the International Center for Clinical Excellence and originator of Feedback-Informed Treatment. Writes about what actually makes a therapist effective, usually against the field's own assumptions about training and experience.

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  What does make a therapist more effective is trainable interpersonal skill, not treatment technology.

  Psychotherapy

  Their words

  It turns out that therapists who perform well on the FIS establish stronger relationships and are more effective (2). More to the point, the evidence shows FIS-related skills are trainable and that such training leads to better results (3, 4, 5).

  writings.scottdmiller.com

Technology journalist; writes Understanding AI, after reporting at Ars Technica, Vox and the Washington Post.

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  A robotaxi that still needs remote human help loses the cost advantage that motivated it, which pushes out when it can scale.

  self-driving cars

  Their words

  If Waymo vehicles were constantly asking for remote guidance, Waymo might need to hire so many remote operators that it negates the cost savings that come from not needing a driver.

  understandingai.org

Writes The Convivial Society, on technology and the moral life — what our tools do to attention, memory and how we treat each other.

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  A good life rests on things that demand skill and effort from you, not on goods that arrive requiring none.

  Their words

  A good life is supported by a diverse array of focal things and practices, which tend to reward us with deeper, more meaningful experiences; a gratifying measure of bodily skill and competence; and possibly even a stronger fabric of relationships.

  The Stuff of (a Well-Lived) Lifetheconvivialsociety.substack.com

Theoretical physicist and philosopher, Homewood Professor of Natural Philosophy at Johns Hopkins and fractal faculty at the Santa Fe Institute. Writes the Preposterous Universe blog and hosts the Mindscape podcast.

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  "Why is there something rather than nothing?" cannot have the kind of answer why-questions usually get, because the universe is not embedded in anything bigger — it can just be.

  Their words

  I think that specifically the question why is there something rather than nothing? does not have the kind of answer that we would ordinarily attribute to why questions because typical why questions are embedded in the universe. And when we answer them, we take advantage of the features of the universe that we know and love. But the universe itself, as far as we know, is not embedded in anything bigger or stronger, and therefore it can just be.

  youtube.com

Engineer and writer on machine-learning systems; author of Designing Machine Learning Systems and AI Engineering. "I work to bring AI into production. I write about AI system design."

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  Weaker AI models match stronger ones on simple prompts, but strong models are increasingly preferred as prompts get more challenging.

  Their words

  One pattern is that for simple prompts, weak models can do (nearly) as well as strong models. For more challenging prompts, however, users are much more likely to prefer stronger models.

  huyenchip.com

Theoretical physicist and cosmologist, Frank B. Baird, Jr. Professor of Science at Harvard University, working on particle physics, extra dimensions and dark matter.

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  The Large Hadron Collider is now a very unlikely place to find dark matter; the search has moved underground to xenon detectors.

  Their words

  That was originally one of the hopes of Large Hadron Collider. I’d say at this point, it would be very unlikely given what they’ve already accomplished, but there are these underground detectors, xenon detectors that look for dark matter coming in, and they are going to try to achieve a much stronger bound than exists today.

  youtube.com

Game designer; chief creative officer at Spry Fox (Triple Town, Realm of the Mad God) and author of the Lost Garden design blog.

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  People will pry open any communication channel a designer tries to close, because the need to connect is stronger than the constraint.

  Their words

  Social affordances are naturally open because humans crave social connection and will pry open channels that designers tried to close off.

  lostgarden.com

Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.

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  Fiscal multipliers vary across time and place but are generally nonzero, positive for spending, negative for taxes, and larger when monetary policy cannot offset them.

  JavaScript

  Their words

  Multipliers are likely to vary a lot over time and space, but the bulk of the evidence is that they are different from zero, positive for spending, negative for taxes, and that they are stronger when monetary policy does not or cannot react to fiscal policy.

  Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Ratesdirect.mit.edu

Writer and researcher on China, technology and industry; author of Breakneck, research fellow at Stanford, known for a widely read annual letter.

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  China's central government has a stronger record of pulling off politically difficult reforms than any other developing country.

  Chinagovernment

  Their words

  It has displayed a stronger record of reform than any other developing country, as the leadership keeps pulling off politically-difficult tasks: shrinking the state sector, re-orienting the economy towards export-led growth after WTO accession, and so on.

  2021 letterdanwang.co

Developer and podcaster; created Instapaper and Overcast, co-founded Tumblr, and co-hosts the Accidental Tech Podcast.

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  Credit cards provide stronger fraud protection and easier recourse for unwanted charges than app stores do.

  Their words

  most credit cards themselves provide stronger fraud prevention and easier recourse from unwanted charges than the App Store ever has

  The future of the App Storemarco.org