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RAY DALIO ON THE BOND MARKET WARNING SIGNS
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18 September
Technology writer of Spyglass, a newsletter about technology and media. Previously a reporter at TechCrunch and an investor at GV.
Director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth Management. Writes the A Wealth of Common Sense blog and co-hosts the Animal Spirits podcast with Michael Batnick.
15 September
Economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley and a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury. Author of Slouching Towards Utopia and writer of the Grasping Reality newsletter.
Equity investors sell the dream; bond investors price the funeral. Hereโs what theyโre charging those undertaking the now debt-financed DataCenter Rush: **Debt & DataCenters: CHART OF THE DAY** FaceBook bankrupt in one scenario in fifteen in five years? SpaceX & Oracle one in six? That appears to be what those willing to lend to FaceBook right now are thinking... https://braddelong.substack.com/p/hyperscaler-debt-default-risk > 2026-09-15 data centers Related
11 September
Co-founder and chief investment officer of Cambria Investment Management. He has written several books on quantitative asset allocation, blogs at Meb Faber Research and hosts The Meb Faber Show.
x.com ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ ๐ก๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ผ๐น๐ฒ๐ผ๐ป, ๐๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ ๐ง๐ฟ๐๐บ๐ฝ ๐ฏ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ธ. ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ป๐ผ๐. My guest today is Robin Wigglesworth (@RobinWigg), editor of @FTAlphaville and author of A Fabulous Debt, a thousand-year history of the market that sets the price of everything else. We get into: โข An Austrian 100 year bond that lost 80%, while a defaulting Argentina paid off better โข Why T-bills feel safe but can lose you 50%+ in real terms after inflation โข Is private credit the next systemic blowup? โข Why the $12 trillion repo marโฆ inflation Related
YouTube Why Governments Are Afraid of the Bond Market (Robin Wigglesworth Explains) Related
Director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth Management. Writes the A Wealth of Common Sense blog and co-hosts the Animal Spirits podcast with Michael Batnick.
I know everyone hates bonds right now b/c inflation, govt debt, etc But if you own a bond index fund that tracks the Agg you're getting 5.2% avg yield to maturity right now Investors would have killed for yields this high at any point in the past 15 years or so inflation Related
10 September
Director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth Management. Writes the A Wealth of Common Sense blog and co-hosts the Animal Spirits podcast with Michael Batnick.
We now have: 7% mortgage rates 5% bond yields 3.5% inflation A roaring stock bull market A transformational tech innovation boom Good movies Angst among the younger generation This really is the 1990s all over again inflation Related
Co-founder and chief investment officer of Cambria Investment Management. He has written several books on quantitative asset allocation, blogs at Meb Faber Research and hosts The Meb Faber Show.
.@AB_insights Inigo Fraser Jenkins on why 60/40's diversification is broken: โIf we're talking about long duration government bonds, I think it's likely they will not perform the diversifying role that they've performed historically.โ โThis post 2022 experience of a positive correlation of stock and bond returns actually looks more normal.โ Listen: https://t.co/mfnaUo1DNT Watch: youtube.com
government Related
Investing columnist for The Wall Street Journal and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham's The Intelligent Investor.
What are bond yields "saying" about stocks? by @WSJ's ever-astute Spencer Jakab wsj.com
Related
Economic historian at Columbia; writes Chartbook on economics, geopolitics and history, and wrote Crashed and The Deluge.
9 September
Economic historian at Columbia; writes Chartbook on economics, geopolitics and history, and wrote Crashed and The Deluge.
8 September
Pulitzer Prize-winning reporter and author of The Power of Habit, Smarter Faster Better and Supercommunicators. Writes for The New Yorker.
Data shows that 80% of laughter has absolutely nothing to do with humor. It's a signal people use to say "I want to bond with you," not a reaction to something being funny. So if you want to instantly connect with anyone you meet: laugh with them. Here's how the Laughter Paradox works: Related
7 September
Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
It is indeed nitpicking, and the effect is a net decrease in demand, and a decrease in reserves. But, yes, I should have been more precise. The ECB indeed not selling, it is letting bonds mature and not buying new ones: this leads to a steady decline in ECB bond holdings and in reserves by the ECB. It intends to do so so long as banks do not come back to hold more reserves. The plan is that, when banks come back, this will determine the amount and the size of the balance sheet. Bottom line. The ECB is doing this for reasons which have nothing to do with fiscal policy. And this has nothing toโฆ Quoting @itsthemchasers @kebabroyal_ @ojblanchard1 But sales would increase the float in times of higher issuance. His statement is simply wrong. Related
Economist; Ronald A. Kurtz Professor of Entrepreneurship at MIT Sloan, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, and co-author of 13 Bankers and Power and Progress.
12 August
Engineering manager who has worked at Apple, Netscape, Slack and Palantir; writes as Rands at randsinrepose.com and wrote Managing Humans.
Bluesky I am โvideo game adriftโ in my post-Destiny depression. Redid Diablo 4, Saros was fun; thinking about James Bond. Did Arc Raiders. Help. Related
Mastodon I am โvideo game adriftโ in my post-Destiny depression. Redid Diablo 4, Saros was fun; thinking about James Bond. Did Arc Raiders. Help. Related
14 July
Investing columnist for The Wall Street Journal and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham's The Intelligent Investor.
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Yes, a book about the history of the bond market can be entertaining and enlightening.
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jasonzweig.com
30 May
Indian value investor who taught Behavioural Finance and Business Valuation as an adjunct professor at MDI Gurgaon. He writes the Fundoo Professor blog about investing, moats and mental models.
A cheap stock without a catalyst is a value trap plus a prayer for a bull market. (That is chasing beta) https://t.co/0XrAuqYqhz The most common catalysts are earnings growth when combined with very low P/E multiples plus a high dividend yield. Doesnโt happen very often but a setup like this must result in stock price appreciation otherwise the yields start exceeding bond yields which by themselves are catalysts for re-rating. There are many other catalysts based on developments inside the company (corporate actions) or developments in markets (eg increase in free float, inclusion in an indexโฆ Related
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