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Chris Wellons Blog
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11 September
6 September
1 September
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Their words
But in many of these cases, this vulnerability is just not broad or deep enough to ever actually be exploitable to get the flag. So a bunch of exploit gym problems are just unintentionally impossible. The authors estimate roughly 30 to 40% of these problems are impossible in this way.
29 August
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Their words
I think the agents were right to presume causal grading. It turned out to be wrong, but it’s a mistake you are clearly supposed to make here, in response to a mistake by OpenAI where they failed to implement properly.
17 August
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Their words
The greater the confidence in a clear view of the battlespace, the greater the reliance on military strategies that could benefit from that clarity, even though they might not be the best ones to meet political objectives.
25 June
9 June
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Their words
a more common trait that's related in the entrepreneurial world is obsessive learning like constant learning because the disruptions that allow for the technology waves that allow for companies to be disruptive and take market share from an incumbent are all tied to something dynamic that's happening on the edge.
7 June
4 June
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Their words
rather than thinking about individual forecasts like what me and Phil are going to do, rather looking at kind of like basically generating prediction markets, where you get aggregate forecasts, where you get like kind of wisdom of the crowd effects. And kind of the reason that I think this is because we have been famously terrible at forecasting.
8 January
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Their words
I don’t think this is very productive (expert users of a piece of software are notoriously bad at being able to tell if an explanation will be clear to non-experts), so I needed to find a way to identify problems with the man pages that was a little more evidence-based.
19 December 2025
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