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Writes Slow Boring, a near-daily newsletter on American politics and public policy; co-founded Vox in 2014 and left it in 2020.

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  Changing Israeli policy toward Palestinians requires imposing costs on mainstream, not just settler, Israelis.

  Their words

  We need to do something that inflicts pain on nicer, more sympathetic Israelis in Tel Aviv and Haifa, something that makes them want to actually change course and meaningfully alter the situation.

  Sanctions on West Bank settlements aren’t enoughslowboring.com

Software engineer and writer; worked on Mapbox and built Placemark and Simple Statistics, and blogs at macwright.com.

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  Decentralized networks can be both principled and mainstream-popular without giving up usability.

  Their words

  It's exciting, and shows that you don't have to accept a bad set of tradeoffs to make tech that's both principled and popular.

  Technology optimism hourmacwright.com

Software developer and entrepreneur; co-founder of Heroku, author of The Twelve-Factor App, and a researcher at Ink & Switch.

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  Mainstream software will largely continue to be created by big tech companies, and that is acceptable.

  Their words

  We acknowledge that mainstream software will largely be the creation of big tech companies, and that's ok.

  Politics and emotion at Local-First Confadamwiggins.com

Writer and consultant on formal methods and software correctness; author of Practical TLA+ and Logic for Programmers.

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  AI is making formal methods more popular without making them mainstream, moving them from about a tenth of a per cent of engineers to three tenths.

  Their words

  I think it is making it more popular. I don't know if it'll make it go mainstream, but it's definitely making it a lot more popular. It's bringing it from maybe like 0.1% to 0.3% which is huge.

  Formal methods with Hillel Wayneyoutube.com

Co-founder and chief executive of Meta Platforms, the company he started as Facebook in 2004.

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  Progress has never come from centralization; it comes from individuals trying things the mainstream had written off.

  Their words

  that's how progress has always been made historically, right? It's not um through centralization. It's through empowering individuals to try things that are somewhat out of the mainstream that other people didn't think were good ideas

  youtube.com

Non-fiction writer, podcaster and occasional TV host. Author of thirteen books including The Ghost Map, Where Good Ideas Come From and Extra Life, host of the PBS series How We Got To Now, and author of the Adjacent Possible newsletter on innovation.

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  Current fears about AI causing harmful cognitive offloading are largely based on outdated impressions of early chatbots rather than today's AI tools.

  Their words

  To a certain extent, the concerns about cognitive offloading are an example of technological lag, where the mainstream discussion of AI and its impact is still framed in terms of the first-generation chatbots.

  Cognitive Uploadingadjacentpossible.substack.com

Co-founder of NVIDIA and, as of 2026, its chief executive; the company designs the GPUs most large AI models are trained on.

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  Export controls cannot deny China compute: it already manufactures most of the world’s mainstream chips and has some of the world’s best computer scientists.

  China

  Their words

  And so you just have to first realize that chips exist in China. They manufacture 60% of the world's mainstream chips, maybe more. It's a very large industry for them. They have some of the world's greatest computer scientists.

  Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?youtube.com

Founder of Terraform Industries and formerly a physicist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory; writes about energy, space and manufacturing.

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  China's advantage in solar manufacturing is neither cheap labour nor a friendlier business environment: the first is gone and the second was never true.

  solarChina

  Their words

  so the mainstream view would say, well, China has cheaper labor, which is no longer true, uh, say compared to Mexico, and it's got lower environmental regulations, uh, which is true, and that it is more businessfriendly, which is absolutely crazy.

  youtube.com

Writes Don't Worry About the Vase, a near-daily account of what is happening in AI and what they think it means. Former Magic: the Gathering pro and trader; unusually willing to put a number on a belief and to grade their own past calls.

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  Silver Bulletin

  Their words

  He offers a unique form of grounding on political, sports and other issues, and a way of bridging my kinds of ideas into mainstream discourse. I almost never regret reading.

  thezvi.substack.com

Economics professor at George Mason University and author of The Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, The Case Against Education and Open Borders. Writes Bet On It.

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  College is not a good career investment for most of the population.

  economists

  Their words

  Despite misleading statements by mainstream education economists, college attendance in particular is not a good career investment for most of the population.

  Selfishly Speaking, Who Should Skip College?betonit.ai

Investor and writer. Previously a partner at Andreessen Horowitz and a product leader at Twitter, Facebook, Snap and Microsoft. Writes essays and memos at sriramk.com.

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  Ideas that first circulate in private group chats often become mainstream public opinion.

  Their words

  Time and time again I've seen group chat conversations act as the memetic upstream of mainstream opinion.

  Group chats rule the worldsriramk.com

Founder and chief executive of Pershing Square Capital Management, the activist investment firm he started in 2004.

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  An independently owned platform is a necessary counterweight to the government and the mainstream media.

  government

  Their words

  So having an independently owned powerful platform is very important for truth, for free speech, for hearing the other side of the story, for counterbalancing the power of the government.

  youtube.com

Political scientist at the University of Chicago and the leading exponent of offensive realism; wrote The Tragedy of Great Power Politics.

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  Hispanic immigrants are integrating into the American mainstream faster than the European immigrants of the nineteenth century did.

  immigrationEuropeAmerica

  Their words

  All the evidence is that Hispanics are integrating into the American mainstream more quickly and more effectively than the European immigrant groups that came starting around 1835.

  youtube.com

Economist at George Mason University. Writes Overcoming Bias on prediction markets, signalling and the far future, and wrote The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain.

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  The most likely way world fertility rises again is the growth of small insular high-fertility groups, not a change of mind in the mainstream.

  Their words

  the most likely identifiable scenario by which fertility will rise again is via the growth of currently-small insular high-fertility subgroups like the Amish and Orthodox Jews

  A Fertility Reckoningovercomingbias.com

Writer and researcher, founder of New Science; writes essays on science funding, sleep research, productivity and ambition at guzey.com.

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  The evidence behind mainstream sleep advice is much weaker than sleep scientists and public health experts present it as being.

  Their words

  It appears that the evidence for all of these beliefs is much weaker than sleep scientists and public health experts want us to believe.

  Theses on Sleepguzey.com