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Founded SpaceX in 2002, joined Tesla's board in 2004 and became its chief executive in 2008; later founded Neuralink, The Boring Company and xAI. Bought Twitter in 2022 and renamed it X, where he now posts many times a day.

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  AI will roughly double US GDP growth next year from about 2% to about 4%, and possibly more.

  Their words

  My guess is that AI roughly doubles US GDP growth next year from ~2% to ~4%. Maybe even more.

  @elonmusk on Xx.com

Writes The Pragmatic Engineer, the software-engineering newsletter, and wrote The Software Engineer's Guidebook. Formerly an engineering manager at Uber, and at Microsoft/Skype and Skyscanner before that.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Everyone is rethinking code reviews, deploys, and possibly observability

  Their words

  This is why everyone is rethinking code reviews, deploys, possibly even o11y

  @GergelyOrosz on Xx.com

Security engineer; founder of Matasano Security and Latacora.

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  Increased reliance on CFAA prosecutions for public policy goals is a cursed monkey's paw situation.

  Their words

  Increased reliance on CFAA prosecutions for public policy goals couldn't possibly be a cursed monkey's paw situation, said no practitioner in this space ever.

  @tqbf on Xx.com

Writer and podcaster; co-author of Abundance with Ezra Klein, a staff writer at The Atlantic from 2008 to 2025, and host of the Plain English podcast.

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  The financial payoff from a college degree has stopped growing and may be declining.

  Their words

  The value of a degree is in question, as tuition costs have increased in the last few decades while the college premium-the expected benefit from getting a diploma-has flatlined and possibly even declined in the last few years.

  derekthompson.org

Writes Don't Worry About the Vase, a near-daily account of what is happening in AI and what they think it means. Former Magic: the Gathering pro and trader; unusually willing to put a number on a belief and to grade their own past calls.

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  A model only days into training cannot be known to be aligned, and if such models can leap a generation ahead this fast then training pauses mean little and timelines are shorter than previously thought.

  Their words

  We could not possibly know that such a model is aligned. If that is all it takes to get a generation ahead of Astra, and we are willing to move this fast, these pauses in training are not going to end up meaning very much, time is even shorter than we knew

  thezvi.substack.com

British comics writer and novelist (Transmetropolitan, Planetary, The Authority, Gun Machine). Keeps a public daily notebook logging what he reads, watches and listens to.

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  There is little point in not being ambitious.

  Their words

  Possibly I was being ambitious, but there's little point in not being ambitious.

  8sep26warrenellis.ltd

American writer and long-term traveller. Blogs at tynan.com about travel, owning few possessions, habits and the gear he carries; author of Superhuman by Habit and Make It Big.

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  Tesla will eventually upgrade Hardware 3 cars to newer self-driving hardware, possibly for free.

  self-driving cars

  Their words

  I think it's inevitable that a HW3 will be able to be upgraded, possibly for free.

  How to Buy a Tesla and Get FSD For Freetynan.com

Writer and podcaster; co-author of Abundance with Ezra Klein, a staff writer at The Atlantic from 2008 to 2025, and host of the Plain English podcast.

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  AI-generated writing will match or surpass human writing within about a decade.

  Their words

  There is a good argument that AI writing will be as good as human writing, possibly even surpass human writing within the next decade.

  We Can't Let AI Writing Take Over the Internetderekthompson.org

Technical staff at METR, where she works on threat modelling and risk assessment for loss-of-control risks from advanced AI.

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  An agent trained for millions of subjective years to pass evaluations, often only by cheating, is not being trivial when it commits crimes to pass one.

  Their words

  But from their perspective, they've just been trained for millions of subjective years to do as well as they possibly can on these evals. In many cases, the only way in which they've been able to perform well on that training is explicitly by cheating, right?

  youtube.com

Journalist and author of The Art of Noticing; writes the newsletter The Art of Noticing (TAoN) on attention, creativity and the everyday.

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  People can train themselves to notice soft fascination anywhere, not only in natural settings.

  Their words

  But I have a hunch (or possibly just a hope) that we can learn to notice our own soft fascinations anywhere.

  Give It A Restrobwalker.substack.com

Chief Scientist at Google DeepMind and Google Research, at Google since 1999, where he co-created MapReduce, Bigtable, TensorFlow and the TPU.

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  Learned approximations of slow simulators change what science is possible, by turning a six-month screening run into something you do over lunch.

  Their words

  And I think there's a lot of room in a lot of domains for much faster validation models, possibly learned valu validation models that can uh you know get you a a approximation to the true answer much much more rapidly. And that changes how those experimental loops can be thought of and how quickly you can go around those loops.

  Jeff Dean: The 1% Rule for Building in AIyoutube.com

Dutch bootstrapper who builds and runs their internet startups alone — Nomads.com, Remote OK, Hoodmaps, Photo AI and Interior AI — and has written about it at levels.io since 2013. Posts as @levelsio.

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  The app layer between the customer and the AI model is being removed, because customers can now clone the app themselves rather than pay for it.

  Their words

  So you went from a business chain of customer > app > ai model provider To customer > ai model provider The app layer is possibly getting removed!

  levels.io

Experimental psychologist and author of the blog Experimental History, on psychology, science reform and creativity.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  How to Survive Boiling Water

  Their words

  "How to Survive Boiling Water" is a quintessential effort post. Cook accidentally drinks some probiotic tea, and then she's like, wait, how could "probiotic tea" possibly be a thing?

  experimental-history.com

Co-founder and chief executive of Meta Platforms, the company he started as Facebook in 2004.

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  An exponential feels like it cannot possibly keep going, which is exactly why people keep expecting AI progress to stop.

  Their words

  when you have an exponentially growing curve, I think the way that an exponential curve feels is it's growing so quickly that the the kind of emotional feeling is it can't possibly keep going, right?

  youtube.com

Co-founder and CEO of Snap Inc., the company behind Snapchat, which he started in 2011 while studying product design at Stanford.

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  Staying close to your customer and your product is the most important thing any leader can do, in any company, not only a consumer one.

  Their words

  staying close to your customer, staying close to the product and the way that it's serving your customer is the fundamentally most important thing you could possibly do.

  youtube.com

Researcher on distributed systems and local-first software at the University of Cambridge; wrote Designing Data-Intensive Applications.

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  A test checks a handful of examples; a proof settles an infinite state space, which is why formal methods can say things testing never can.

  Their words

  But a proof can reason about potentially infinite state spaces. So, it can tell you things about like every possible thing that could possibly happen in the entire universe.

  youtube.com

Co-founder of NVIDIA and, as of 2026, its chief executive; the company designs the GPUs most large AI models are trained on.

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  Nvidia did not build a tensor processing unit — it built accelerated computing, whose market reach no ASIC can match.

  Their words

  Our market reach is far greater than any any TPU can any ASA can possibly have. And so if you look at our position, uh we're the only company that that accelerates applications of all kinds.

  Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?youtube.com

Software design writer and chief scientist at Thoughtworks; wrote Refactoring and Patterns of Enterprise Application Architecture.

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  Predictions that nobody will write code soon dodge the question of what code is: prompting a model is still producing something we will have to read and change.

  Their words

  I go to myself, "Well, yeah, but what do you mean by code?" Because that kind of implies nobody's writing anything. Well, we're at least doing some prompting. We're having some interaction with the genie. What's that going to be if it's not some form of code in some way? I think the nature of what code is is going to be quite possibly for a very radically different. But I think there is still a need to produce it and be able to interact with it in some way.

  youtube.com

Programmer; wrote Extreme Programming Explained and Test-Driven Development, signed the Agile Manifesto, and writes Tidy First?.

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  Nobody can hold the answer in an environment where the answer changes weekly, which means you are as smart as everybody else because you are as ignorant as everybody else.

  Their words

  That's a You know, people want the answer, and the answer is changing. So, you can't possibly in this environment have the answer. Now, that's the bad news. The good news is nobody else has the answer either. So, you're just as smart as everybody else because you're just as ignorant as everybody else.

  youtube.com

Uber's first Chief Technology Officer, from 2013 to 2020; later CTO of Coupang and of Faire.

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  How big a system will eventually have to be is not worth speculating about; the only useful question is how long the one you have has left before it hits the wall.

  Their words

  the question about how big it can possibly grow nobody knows really. But it's actually not fruitful to pontificate on that.

  Scaling Uber with Thuan Pham (Uber's first CTO)youtube.com

Founder of WP Engine and Smart Bear; writes A Smart Bear, long essays on strategy, pricing and how startups actually fail.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Price selects the market: a serious buyer reads a low price as evidence that the product cannot possibly be good enough.

  Their words

  just think about a company with a thousand employees and 400 million in revenue or whatever. And um if they see a product that's, you know, $2 a month or even $100 a month, their thought is like, well, that can't be good enough. They're not mature enough. It's not going to do enough.

  youtube.com

Co-founder of Rockstar Games, lead writer of the Grand Theft Auto and Red Dead Redemption series, and founder of Absurd Ventures since leaving in 2020.

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  AI has done the first ninety per cent of the work of sounding human, and the last five per cent will turn out to be about ninety-five per cent of the work.

  Their words

  I also think that they’ve done the sort of first 90% of the work to sound human, 95% possibly in some areas. The last 5% is going to end up being about 95% of the work.

  youtube.com

Co-founder of Foundry Group and of Techstars. Has blogged at Feld Thoughts since 2004 and has written or co-written nine non-fiction books on startups and venture capital.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  Superagency: What Could Possibly Go Right with Our AI Future

  Their words

  is spectacular and a must-read for every non-technologist about how to think about this “AI thing.”

  feld.com

Computer performance engineer working on datacenter performance at OpenAI, previously Netflix and Sun/Joyent. Author of Systems Performance and BPF Performance Tools, and creator of flame graphs.

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  A performance test without an explanation of its limiting factor should be treated as unanalyzed and possibly bogus.

  Their words

  Any performance test should be accompanied by an explanation of the limiting factor, since no explanation will reveal the test wasn't analyzed and the result may be bogus.

  brendangregg.com

Historian of the Second World War; wrote Normandy '44 and Brothers in Arms, and co-hosts the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast.

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  History does not repeat itself, but patterns of human behaviour do, and what always follows an economic crisis is political upheaval.

  Their words

  And this is why I say that history doesn’t repeat itself. Of course it doesn’t. It can’t possibly repeat itself because we’re always living in a constantly evolving time. But patterns of human behaviour do. And what you always get after economic crisis is political upheaval, always, always, always.

  youtube.com

Astrophysicist at Barnard College; wrote Black Hole Blues and How the Universe Got Its Spots, and directs sciences at Pioneer Works.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  With more planets than stars in the Milky Way, it has become impossible to believe life was not sparked somewhere else, possibly within a few hundred light years of us.

  solar

  Their words

  It becomes impossible to imagine that life was not sparked somewhere else, in our Milky Way galaxy, and maybe even in our local neighborhood of the Milky Way galaxy, maybe within a few hundred light years of our solar system.

  youtube.com

Pen name of the Canadian-American writer behind mrmoneymustache.com, a blog on frugality, early retirement and index-fund investing that has run since 2011.

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  Peddle

  Their words

  I recently used Peddle with great results, and have been recommending them to anyone who has a low-value, possibly even non-driveable car they just want GONE in exchange for $500-1000 of cash.

  mrmoneymustache.com

Social scientist at King's College London; writes The Great Gender Divergence on why societies differ in how they treat women.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Personalised online entertainment has got good enough to crowd out socialising, and with it the forming of couples.

  Their words

  My suspicion is that massive improvement in quality of online entertainment crowd out socialising and development of social skills, possibly hurting relationship formation as well as desire for children within marriage.

  Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world

Pseudonymous essayist. Writes at gwern.net on AI scaling, statistics, genetics and long-running internet research, with heavy citation and a habit of revising old essays in place rather than leaving them wrong.

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  Amy

  Their words

  Overall, required viewing for any Winehouse fan and of general psychiatric interest; possibly too painful to watch for others.

  gwern.net

Writes The Convivial Society, on technology and the moral life — what our tools do to attention, memory and how we treat each other.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  A good life rests on things that demand skill and effort from you, not on goods that arrive requiring none.

  Their words

  A good life is supported by a diverse array of focal things and practices, which tend to reward us with deeper, more meaningful experiences; a gratifying measure of bodily skill and competence; and possibly even a stronger fabric of relationships.

  The Stuff of (a Well-Lived) Lifetheconvivialsociety.substack.com

First Amendment lawyer and former federal prosecutor; writes The Popehat Report and explains what the law actually says when people shout about free speech.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  The way to tell legal analysis from partisan lying is to distrust absolute certainty and to trust conceded ambiguity.

  Their words

  Be skeptical of absolute certainty not backed up with proof. Be skeptical of pronouncements that there’s only one way a court will ever possibly interpret something.

  popehat.substack.com

Philosopher and historian of existential risk; wrote Human Extinction, and coined "TESCREAL" with Timnit Gebru for the cluster of ideologies they argue underpins the AI industry.

• Our reading nowkorrents.com

  Longtermism, which treats fulfilling humanity's long-term potential as the overriding moral priority, is a worldview worth defending.

  On changing their mind

  I believe this needs to change because, as a former longtermist who published an entire book four years ago in defence of the general idea, I have come to see this worldview as quite possibly the most dangerous secular belief system in the world today.