Robin Hanson

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Good to know. The reason I'd been focusing on is the least popular among 3 options. 1 Sept
Re your next personal day, fears and hopes are of similar magnitude. But re the world over decades, we find far more to fear than to hope for. 1 Sept
Modern Worries 1 Sept
"main correlates for support of redistribution are the beliefs concerning the importance of effort versus luck for success (fairness), the trust in government… 1 Sept
"Participants … were asked to hold at least one personal conversation a day with a generative AI tool of their choice for 28 days … This led to an increase in… 1 Sept
"criticism’s aversion to obviousness is rooted in its construction of the particularly skilled author as the possessor of an informal, extralegal kind of intel… 1 Sept
"across 3 experiments, people are less sensitive to info others discover than to equally relevant info they discover themselves. … even when others info is per… 1 Sept
"democratizations have a large, negative impact on asset valuations driven by a rise in redistriubiton risk. Across 90 countries over 200 years …" 1 Sept
I've found it hard to get people to see how much they love their culture, compared to the space of possible cultures. I think this norm that all cultures are e… 1 Sept
Libertarians object to limits on acts enforced by govts, but not those enforced by norms. Libertines object to both. 1 Sept
"To really grapple with the Aztecs is to experience a sort of vertigo every bit as disorienting and nauseating as cosmic horror itself. … The nine most frighte… 1 Sept
"There was nothing special about the mass sacrifices atop the pyramids, they were just one of the gaudiest and costliest outgrowths of a sensibility that perva… 1 Sept
Have you ever looked up at night stars, and been filled with rage or despair that the stars seem oblivious to your influence? No? Then why be so upset that AIs… 1 Sept
"universe of public-health laws can account for approximately two-thirds of the mortality decline during the study period." 31 Aug
"decline in fertility likely reflects a complex mix of changing norms around work, parenting, gender roles, and leisure" 31 Aug
"participants from … U.S., Poland, Japan, & India. Despite the moderate distance on key cultural dimensions (e.g., individualism-collectivism, tightness-loosen… 31 Aug
If you were to worry about cultural drift causing civ declines, then rebirths, which would be your main reason? (A) People suffer in troughs between civs. (B)… 31 Aug
Re both the possibilities of non-Earth-life in the Solar System, and that some-UFOs-are-aliens, reasonable priors are pretty high. So Bayesian analysis does NO… 31 Aug
Aliens Are Not Crazy Unlikely 31 Aug
huh. Where I know more than others, both young and old, are mostly topics where the old don't know much more than the young. 31 Aug
Median lognormal fit: we prefer only ~1/1200 cultures in history to ours. 30 Aug
Testimony Data Project 27 Aug
Make Peace With Darwin 24 Aug
No-New-Physics Consciousness 15 Aug
Digital Mind Suicide 14 Aug
Digital Mind Castes 10 Aug
The Modern Mind's Fatal Flaw 8 Aug
Easy To Hard Discipline Academic Careers Paths 7 Aug
How To Be A Usually-Right Contrarian 5 Aug
Status And Social-Skill Bias 3 Aug
Why Sheep Need Pigs in Sheepdog’s Clothing 2 Aug
Who Are Your "Descendants"? 29 Jul
Our Likely Future Filter: World Govt 25 Jul
The End Of Culture 23 Jul
200yrs of Reasons For World Govt 22 Jul
LLM-judged policy debates 21 Jul
Overly Smooth Drained Strict Costly Norms 18 Jul
Callard's Uni-Context 15 Jul
This Time Is Always Different 12 Jul