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Robin Hanson x.com
Do you think it is possible, if God exists, that he (or she or whatever) could clearly prove to you that he exists? So that you'd then assign >99.9% chance to his existing?
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14 September
13 September
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Their words
A choice exists at the scale of a person thinking, weighing and deciding. Looking at the molecules underneath and finding no choice there doesn't prove that choice is an illusion.
11 September
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29 August
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31 July
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korrents.com
Models can prove monumental theorems and still have never written an essay worth reading.Their words
I mean, it's very interesting, right? Because these can prove the Jacobian conjecture, you know, whatever. Uh and so clearly they're capable of these monumental feats. Um but somehow I still haven't read the LLM essay that I found super compelling.
14 July
11 July
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Population-level studies will keep struggling to prove that short sleep shortens life, because they are structurally unable to separate cause from symptom—and the genetic tools meant to overcome this limitation inherit a different fatal flaw.
7 July
26 June
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we are trying to encourage people to not spend all their time just like going through all the mathematical open problems physics problems and um just seeing pushing the models to their limits to see what they can prove or disprove.
24 June
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it's just right team, right project, cuz if you don't get the right project, there's no way you can prove yourself. You could be a 10x, 100x engineer, and if you're working on relatively easy stuff, you can't really say that you solved like a really hard problem.
16 June
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and you may now use the actual Inquisition record of you having gone through censorship as the document to prove that you and only you have the right to print the book and therefore you can sue people for plagiarizing it or printing an unauthorized edition. And so, the very first version of copyright is the Inquisition.
13 June
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korrents.com
The war in Ukraine will prove as historically significant in its outcome as the First World War was.Their words
The war in Ukraine has now lasted longer than the First World War, and there is every reason to think that its outcome will be of comparable historical significance.
9 June
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But the maritime world is about negative objectives. It's preventing things from bad things from happening. And um you can never prove that you prevented anything.
3 June
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if you nominate people whose life history reflects a high degree of unreliability, they may prove unreliable once in office.
8 May
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It may still be the case, and I guess it is, that immune traits are the most selected category, but is not at all the case, and in fact, we can prove it's not the case that behavioral traits are not selected.
24 April
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korrents.com
A confession stops the investigation that would have cleared the innocent person who gave it.Their words
A confession, though, will sometimes preclude police from doing the very sort of investigation that would prove the confessor’s innocence.
19 March
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it turns out you can do this if you think really hard about okay, how do I have agents prove to me that the stuff they've written works?
11 March
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The right way to incubate a video game is you have the smallest group possible and you try to get the idea across with whatever technology you can get your hands on, using other engines, using art from whatever. You prove out that idea, and once you know what you’re doing, then you expand the team.
4 March
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When rare skills become more attainable, people feel pressure to move "up the stack" to prove their value.
1 January
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behavior and belief is like two-way street. You know, what you believe will influence the actions that you take, but the actions that you take can also influence what you believe about yourself. And you know, every time you show up and do it in some small way, you prove to yourself a little bit, hey, maybe I am that kind of person. And so, my encouragement, my suggestion is to let the behavior lead the way.
12 December 2025
9 December 2025
From one piece Is It a Bubble? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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There’s a consistent history of transformational technologies generating excessive enthusiasm and investment, resulting in more infrastructure than is needed and asset prices that prove to have been too high. The excesses accelerate the adoption of the technology in a way that wouldn’t occur in their absence.
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There can be no way to participate fully in the potential benefits from the new technology without being exposed to the losses that will arise if the enthusiasm and thus investors’ behavior prove to have been excessive.
2 September 2025
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korrents.com
Studies showing a language model behaving badly prove nothing, because the model was asked to produce that behaviour.Their words
you write murder is good on a piece of paper and you put it in a photocopier and you press go and you say my god the machine says murder's good. Well, no, you told the machine to say that. And that's what these anthropic studies are. They're basically you tell the machine to say a thing and then it says it like well you haven't proved anything.
17 August 2025
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