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Technology writer of Spyglass, a newsletter about technology and media. Previously a reporter at TechCrunch and an investor at GV.

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  The unbundling of cable television was always going to be followed by a re-bundling of streaming services.

  Their words

  The great un-bundling of cable was always going to lead to a re-bundling of streaming. It's simply too expensive and too chaotic without a more central hub.

  Inklings #026 📧spyglass.org

Systems and developer-tools engineer at Cloudflare as of 2026, on durable infrastructure for AI agents; worked on React and PartyKit before that. Writes at sunilpai.dev.

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  Environments that reward hot takes make it expected that people become conspiracy nuts.

  Their words

  I didn't expect so many of you to become full on conspiracy nuts, but I guess it's expected in an environments that rewards hot takes

  @threepointone on Xx.com

Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.

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  Touchdown rates are noisy and opportunity-dependent, and don't transfer well when a quarterback changes teams.

  Their words

  TDs are both noisy and opportunity-dependent, and TD rates don’t “travel” all that well when a QB changes teams.

  How our ELWAY forecasts worknatesilver.net

British front-end web developer based in Japan; writes about HTML, CSS, web performance and browser tooling at christianoliff.com.

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  Wise

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  Wise - great service for transferring money between currencies at very low rates (Affiliate link - get £15 off with first transfer)

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Technical staff at METR, where she works on threat modelling and risk assessment for loss-of-control risks from advanced AI.

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  Slower AI progress does not obviously help: a rogue swarm is not much more likely to be caught if takeoff takes twice as long.

  Their words

  So, I do think that if it happens to be like on the very fast and chaotic end, that would be a relative benefit to this rogue swarm compared to humans. But it's not obvious that it gets caught if it takes twice as long versus half as long.

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Professor at Stanford working on robot learning and meta-learning; co-founded Physical Intelligence.

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  Robot policies already show emergent capability: one transferred a skill from its right hand to its left with no such example anywhere in its training data.

  Their words

  Um the robot essentially had learned this sort of equivariance between his left hand and his right hand so that it could actually transfer uh behaviors from one hand to another. uh despite the fact that that was never in the data.

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Chief scientist at Redwood Research, where he works on technical AI safety and AI control.

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  There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all.

  Their words

  it's really hard for me to think of examples of cognitive tasks humans do where we're not seeing some transfer from AI improving.

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Creator of Claude Code at Anthropic.

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  Prompt work does not transfer across model generations: what you wrote three months ago for one model may be worth nothing to the next.

  Their words

  And the reason is every model is very different. So, something that you did for one model maybe 3 months ago, it just might not translate at all to the next model.

  Boris Cherny: We Cut 80% of Claude Code's Promptyoutube.com

Physician and neuroscientist at the University of Washington; researches brain health, metabolism and athletic performance.

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  Digital brain training makes you better at the training and at nothing else, which is the strongest argument against it.

  Their words

  This is one of the main arguments against online or you know digital brain training is that you get very good at doing that one specific thing but it doesn't transfer over to other areas of your life.

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Full-stack Laravel developer based in Madison, Wisconsin; maintains open-source Laravel, Livewire and Alpine.js packages and writes at randallwilk.dev.

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  Blip

  Their words

  While Airdrop works very well between Apple devices, it can be kind of annoying to transfer files between either my Mac or iPhone and my Windows PC when I need to. The Blip app helps bridge that gap and is free and easy to use. I've actually started using it more often between my Apple devices as well than I use Airdrop now.

  randallwilk.dev

Author of The Lean Startup and Incorruptible, and founder of the Long-Term Stock Exchange, who advises companies on corporate governance and mission protection.

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  Letting shareholders govern AI means whoever can borrow the most money controls the technology, and that cannot be how it works.

  Their words

  If you say that shareholders should run it, then you're saying literally whoever can borrow the most money should be able to control this technology, it's just that's nuts.

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Senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation; writes Second Best, and was the Niskanen Center's director of social policy before that.

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  Forecasting AI capability progress is more like solving a thermodynamics equation than predicting chaotic, short-term dynamics.

  Their words

  Forecasting AI capabilities is closer in kind to solving a thermodynamics equation than solving the three-body problem.

  Empiricists vs. Extrapolatorssecondbest.ca

Reinforcement-learning researcher; co-wrote the field's standard textbook, wrote The Bitter Lesson, and shared the 2024 Turing Award.

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  We have almost no automated techniques for making a system transfer what it learns, and none of the few we have are used in modern deep learning.

  Their words

  We don't have any methods that are good at that. What we have are people um try different things and they they settle on something that that uh a representation that that transfers well or they generalize as well. But we have no we don't have any automated techniques to promote. we have very few automated techniques to promote transfer and they're not none of them are used in in modern deep learning.

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Founder of Platformer, a newsletter on tech platforms and the people they affect, and co-host of the Hard Fork podcast at the New York Times.

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  The Pragmatic Engineer

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  Gergely brings an incredible amount of reporting depth to every edition of this newsletter about the nuts and bolts of building technology. A must-read for the tech rank-and-file and their managers.

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Biochemist at University College London; writes about the origin of life and the role of energy in evolution, in The Vital Question and Transformer.

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  Life on Mars could share a genetic code close to ours with no transfer between the planets, because the beginnings of life are close to inevitable.

  Their words

  So, it wouldn’t surprise me any longer if we found life on Mars and it had a genetic code that was not very different to the genetic code that we have here without it just being transferred across, there’s some inevitability about the whole of the beginnings of life, in my view.

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