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Their words
the best way to think about AI is as another social, political, cultural and economic shock in the series of shocks that have been underway over the long industrial revolution.
How should social science think about AI?programmablemutter.com
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John Cochrane Blog
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12 September
29 July
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Their words
The original point of the China Shock 1.0 discourse was not to foreground the unfairness of Chiense competition, so much as the malfunctioning of US policy and societal institutions in the face of concentrated globalization shocks.
21 June
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Their words
They are none of these things. All three were predictable and overdetermined.
Chartbook 452 Europe's Machiavellian moment?adamtooze.substack.com
27 May
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Their words
We are about to see the Great Clean Energy Acceleration 2.0 - a discontinuity in energy markets as profound as the oil shocks of the 1970s, and one that could bring forward the peak in fossil fuel use and emissions to this side of 2030.
14 October 2025
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Their words
The empirical evidence strongly refutes the idea that rising opportunity costs of childbearing are driving low fertility. Declining marriage due to exogenous technology and economics shocks is tanking fertility irrespective of child direct or opportunity costs.
Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Costlymanstone.substack.com
7 October 2024
24 September 2024
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Their words
as the Bitcoin ecosystem matures, infrastructure improves, and more regulatory clarity emerges, I expect the frequency of these 'Black Swan' events to diminish over time.
2 January 2024
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korrents.com
The long decline in mortality is not guaranteed to continue: new shocks and old unsolved diseases can reverse it.Their words
None of these trends are a given.
10 April 2023
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