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Writer on happiness, habits and human nature. Author of The Happiness Project, Better Than Before and The Four Tendencies, and host of the Happier with Gretchen Rubin podcast.

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  An idea stated in a more fluent or rhyming form seems more true or persuasive than the same idea stated plainly.

  Their words

  An idea expressed in rhyme seems more convincing, which is why "Haste makes waste" is more compelling than "Hurrying fosters error."

  How to Tackle a Nagging Task: Power Hour!gretchenrubin.com

Technical staff at METR, where she works on threat modelling and risk assessment for loss-of-control risks from advanced AI.

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  The whole point of reinforcement learning is to produce goal-directed beings, so refusing to describe AI agents as having motives is silly rather than rigorous.

  Their words

  and they're creatively pursuing goals much like very ambitious aggressive power-seeking humans creatively pursued their goals And so there are just structural analogies here that make it silly to not talk about agents as having motives and goals.

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Creator of Ruby on Rails, CTO of 37signals, and creator of Omarchy.

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  A productivity improvement means fewer people doing the same job, and that should be said plainly by the people defending it as good.

  Their words

  This is very important because in the abstract, I think everyone says, "Yay, productivity. That's good." What did you think, this was all just vibes? No. Productivity means fewer people to do the same number or the same job. Now, the amount of job you want done may increase, and therefore you get more people, but it also may not.

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Co-founded Neuralink and founded Science Corp, which is building a retinal implant; writes about neural interfaces and biology.

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  The brain is very literally a computer, and so is the universe -- this is not a metaphor.

  Their words

  Like, the brain very literally, very clearly, plainly is a computer in in my understanding of the world. I also view the universe generally as a computer.

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Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI; previously president of Y Combinator.

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  Y Combinator's much-mocked insistence that founders move to San Francisco was, in hindsight, plainly correct.

  startups

  Their words

  it used to be very heretical that YC told people they had to move to San Francisco. And looking back, it was clearly right.

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Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla; creator of nanoGPT and the term "vibe coding".

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  Humans collapse over the course of a life exactly as models do; children say shocking things because they have not overfitted yet.

  Their words

  I also think humans collapse over time. Uh I think this is uh again these analogies are surprisingly good but humans collapse during the course of their lives. This is why children have completely u you know they haven't overfit yet and they will say stuff that will shock you

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Mathematician at UCLA, working mainly in harmonic analysis and partial differential equations. Writes What's new, a long-running blog on their research, open problems and expository notes.

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  He works as a fox, not a hedgehog: moving between fields, chasing analogies, and re-proving results he likes with the tools he favours.

  Their words

  I'm much more comfortable with the fox paradigm. Yeah. So yeah, I like looking for analogies, narratives. I spend a lot of time… If there's a result, I see it in one field, and I like the result, it's a cool result, but I don't like the proof, it uses types of mathematics that I'm not super familiar with, I often try to re-prove it myself using the tools that I favor.

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Founder and chief analyst of SemiAnalysis; reports on semiconductor supply chains, AI datacentre economics and what the chip export controls actually do.

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  Superhuman persuasion will arrive before superhuman intelligence, which means whoever builds a model can embed their ideals in it long before anyone reaches AGI.

  AGIOpenAI

  Their words

  There's this very good quote from Sam Altman who... He can be a hyperbeast sometimes, but one of the things he said, and I think I agree, is that superhuman persuasion will happen before superhuman intelligence, right? And if that's the case, then these things before we get this AGI ASI stuff, we can embed superhuman persuasion towards our ideal or whatever the ideal of the model maker is, right?

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Astrophysicist at the University of Rochester; works on the search for life elsewhere and wrote The Little Book of Aliens and Light of the Stars.

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  The many-worlds interpretation invents infinitely many unobservable universes to avoid what quantum mechanics is plainly saying: that measurement matters.

  Their words

  Many of them try to pretend the measurement problem isn't there. Go to enormous lengths like the many-worlds interpretation, literally inventing an infinite number of unobservable parallel universes to avoid the thing that quantum mechanics is telling them, which is that measurements matter.

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Founded CD Baby in 1998 and sold it in 2008, giving the proceeds to a charitable trust for music education. Since then a writer and speaker: five books and 550+ articles, published first at sive.rs, which they hand-code and keep free of advertising.

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  How Minds Change

  Their words

  The psychology of how and why we believe. How we learn and change. The craft of doubt and persuasion. Insights into the social definition of truth. Epistemology. Certainty is a feeling not based on facts. Well-written with a nice balance of story-telling and deeper dives.

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