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Basically, the story would end up being that to get five years of AI progress, you're probably going to need around I would say like maybe eight years of algorithmic progress very roughly. Um, which is a lot a lot of algorithmic progress.
We kind of expect that we can go to work and we can work really hard for eight hours straight during the day, but like the brain doesn't really work like that.
but I mean in reality when you look at the data on sleep loss and dementia risk The cut off is really around 6 hours. So if you're consistently sleeping fewer than 6 hours, that's where risk starts to increase.
You look under the underneath though at the code and it was just a horrible unmaintainable mess. But the fact that people could program the programs that they wanted was a a significant step forward as opposed to I'm going to write a thousandpage requirements document and then wait 8 years and not get what I want which was the alternative that we were offering at the at the time.
And humans max out at about like 3 to 4 hours a day. Like really really hard deep work, right? Um which always makes me laugh when executives are like, "We need 8 hours of intense work."
let's say an engineer can be 100 times as productive, just just for sake of argument, all right? Who captures that value? If the if the engineer goes to work and works for 8 hours a day and produces 100 times as much, the company captured all of that value.
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And number two, the superhuman opportunity deserves everyone who works at the company to spend as much time as possible in their zone of genius. And so that includes me as well as everybody else. So what I did is I hired a really great president. I went from eight direct reports to two.
The longevity of that consensus is itself remarkable: in 79 years of data, Republican presidents spent an average of $34 billion a year on aid, while Democrats spent $40 billion.
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