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Essayist; writes Astral Codex Ten, previously Slate Star Codex.

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  The medical system that broke Adam Kay in 2010 is still producing more similarly damaged doctors, and faster.

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  the system that broke him in 2010 is, in 2026, still producing more of him, faster.

  Your Book Review: This Is Going To Hurtastralcodexten.com

Economist at George Mason University, co-author of Marginal Revolution, host of Conversations with Tyler. Writes in short, dense claims about economics, culture and AI, and has moved position on AI in public more than once.

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  China declined U.S. nuclear-talk proposals in 2023 and broke off meaningful arms control talks.

  ChinaAmerica

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  During the 2023 U.S.-China nuclear talks, America proposed missile-launch notifications, a nuclear crisis hotline, and processes to limit the use of outer space for military conflict. China declined all of those. Blame the U.S. if you wish (do we always keep our word?), but that is what happened. China also broke off meaningful arms control talks.

  When discussing AI policy, start with Chinamarginalrevolution.com

Founded Bridgewater Associates in 1975 and led it until stepping back from control in 2022. Author of Principles, The Changing World Order and How Countries Go Broke; publishes economic analysis at economicprinciples.org.

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  A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement.

  government

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  Because one can measure these things, one can monitor this debt dynamic happening, so it’s easy to see problems approaching. I’ve used this diagnostic process in my investing and I’ve kept it to myself, but I’m now explaining it in detail in How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle because it is too important to keep to myself.

  raydalio.substack.com

Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade. Came back from a break to work on AI agents — the OpenClaw project, and OpenAI, joined in February 2026. Writes at steipete.me.

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  Users like security in the abstract and experience it as breakage: hardening the project made things slower, harder to update, and broke what people depended on.

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  Sure, they they like the abstract term of security, but in all practical terms, they updated. I broke something they depended on. I made things slower and I made things more difficult to update.

  Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

Investing columnist for The Wall Street Journal and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham's The Intelligent Investor.

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  1873: The Rothschilds, the First Great Depression, and the Making of the Modern World

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  Ahamed, the banker and investment manager whose previous book Lords of Finance: The Bankers Who Broke the World covered the crash of 1929, writes well.

  jasonzweig.com

Historian of maritime strategy at the US Naval War College; wrote The Wars for Asia and works on why continental and maritime powers fight differently.

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  A maritime power must never take on a continental power's main force directly, and Britain broke that rule at great cost in the First World War.

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  Rule number five, a rule that Britain broke at great cost in World War I. Do not take on the enemy main force directly. You certainly do not do that as an opening move.

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Engineer and teacher; wrote Kubernetes the Hard Way, was a distinguished engineer at Google Cloud, and retired from full-time work in 2023.

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  Raise the number all you like, but never raise the lifestyle with it — you can make a lot of money and still be broke.

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  But the thing I was careful not to do was to change the lifestyle because I I watched people around me change the lifestyle so you can make a lot of money and still be broke.

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