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Thomas Wolf Bluesky
being in a robotics lab in 2025 open-source hardware + good RL + impressive people => lot of fun join the OpenDuck community to build yours:
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18 September
17 September
14 September
11 September
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korrents.com
A product can be technically impressive yet fail because it launched before a real market for it existed.Their words
It's certainly an impressive piece of technology, but it was clearly launched far too early, with no large market to find.
10 September
9 September
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Their words
OpenAI solving one of the most famous math problems is extremely impressive, and of little impact to most people's lives; Meta's Muse agent launch has the potential to be the exact opposite.
5 September
4 September
From one piece Why Fei-Fei Li Is Betting on Spatial Intelligence 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
cuz we don't yet have a a frontier foundation model that's robust enough for for uh robotics.
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korrents.com
The biggest problem in robotics today is data, not chips; chips become the bottleneck later.Their words
We should zoom out and recognize the biggest problem right now in robotics is actually data. One day it'll be chips, but for now it's data.
3 September
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Their words
We are going to keep doing this ‘omg the new Chinese model is so good, America is cooked’ cycle for a while. Best get used to it.
2 September
1 September
31 August
26 August
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Their words
Then there's another possibility which is that it actually already has worked but just the productivity boost isn't as big as would be obvious if people got 10% more productive. That would still be pretty impressive because it's hard to get a 10% across the board uplift.
15 August
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korrents.com
Once AI and robotics do the manufacturing, the price of any object becomes the price of the energy used to make it.Their words
If you keep asking this question, what you realize is energy is the fundamental input. When we figure out AI and robotics that allows us to do semi-aututonomous manufacturing, energy will become the cost of all things, right? The cost of buying a thing will become the cost of energy used to make it.
14 August
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Their words
we tend to describe progress in agents as progress in autonomy: first they could do five minutes of work, then an hour, now we talk seriously about agents running for days. that’s impressive, but autonomy is a capability, not a product direction! the Job To Be Done tells you whether to use it.
12 August
From one piece Chelsea Finn: This is the State of the Art in Robotics 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I think that the distribution channel for physical models is going to be slower uh unfortunately because you actually need a physical robot there
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Their words
Uh and just like how we see in language models how now a lot of time is spent actually generating data, generating synthetic data by actually running the model and having it think through things. I think a lot of the data in the future in robotics is going to be the robot attempting to do lots of tasks in lots of real world circumstances.
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Their words
So, you might be surprised to hear that most state-of-the-art foundation models for robotics have no memory or no context. They're just operating on the current sensor observations, the current camera readings, uh, and predicting actions based off of that.
11 August
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Let Over LambdaTheir words
Let Over Lambda by Doug Hoyte is perfect for those three people in the world who find The Art of the Metaobject Protocol underwhelming. One of the most impressive books I've read.
6 August
3 August
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korrents.com
Betting a robotics company on today's component prices is betting it on a number with a short shelf life.Their words
So, betting your company, betting your approach on today's hardware prices is just betting your company on a number that has a fairly short shelf life and is going to expire.
27 July
26 July
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Their words
I would say the chat GPT moment of robots happened a couple of years ago already.
20 July
16 July
30 June
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Likedrcmnd.app
GlasslandsTheir words
This is clearly an amateur effort (there was a whole repeated paragraph), but as such it's very impressive and I am happy to have paid money for it.
23 April
13 March
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Their words
um humanoid robots maybe start to or robotics at least start to but the main factor is going to be for reducing the number of people is modularizing things and making them in factories in Asia
13 February
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Their words
does that mean the robotics industry will also be generating trillions of dollars of revenue? My answer there is yes, but there will be the same extremely fast but not infinitely fast diffusion. So, will robotics be be revolutionized? Yeah, maybe tack on another year or two.
4 February
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Their words
People should not be judging AI-augmented coding by "1 shots."
7 January
16 December 2025
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Secret of Our SuccessTheir words
Not every plank in his argument is convincing, and the research has evolved since the book first came out a decade ago, but the ambition is impressive and the framework holds up.
21 November 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Elgato Wave 3Their words
Most impressive to me, it seems to cancel bounce and echo far better than my pro studio gear.
14 October 2025
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
GLM 4.6Their words
I keep an eye on China’s open models, and it’s impressive how quickly they catch up. GLM 4.6 and Kimi K2.1 are strong contenders that slowly reach Sonnet 3.7 quality
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Kimi K2.1Their words
I keep an eye on China’s open models, and it’s impressive how quickly they catch up. GLM 4.6 and Kimi K2.1 are strong contenders that slowly reach Sonnet 3.7 quality
12 September 2025
From one piece Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
But the reason why it's not the most important thing for the kind of skills that you saw when you visited us, it at some level I think it comes back to Moravik's paradox. So Morovik's paradox is basically that it's like you know if you know one thing about if you want to know one thing about robotics it's like that's that's the thing. Morovik's paradox says that basically uh in AI the easy things are hard and the hard things are easy.
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korrents.com
The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning.Their words
So to me like what what I tend to think about a lot in terms of timelines is not the date when it will be done but the date when it will when like the flywheel starts basically.
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Their words
I think that it's optimistically that it's actually the other way around that the robotics uh element of the equation will make all the other stuff better. And there are two uh reasons for this that that I could tell you about. One has to do with representations and focus.
+ 2 more
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Their words
So, that's not an argument about robotics being easier than autonomous driving. It's just an argument for 2025 being a better year than 2009.
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korrents.com
Robotics has a bootstrap that computing never had: making robots is physical work, and robots do physical work.Their words
robots help with uh physical things uh physical work. And if producing robots is itself physical work, then getting really good at robotics should help with that. It's a little circular, of course.
11 September 2025
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone DiesTheir words
Despite my gripes above, this is an impressive book.
8 August 2025
8 July 2025
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korrents.com
A good robotaxi demonstration in one city does not mean the company is ready to scale the service.Their words
But I don’t think Tesla’s accomplishments over the last two weeks—impressive as they are—mean that Tesla is ready to quickly scale up its service.
23 June 2025
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korrents.com
Current AI models cannot produce insights beyond human understanding, however impressive they seemTheir words
You should remember that the best AIs can perform at the level of a very smart person on some tasks, but current models cannot provide miraculous insights beyond human understanding.
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Likedrcmnd.app
Veo 3Their words
Generally, ChatGPT is stronger. On video creation, however, Gemini’s Veo 3 is very impressive, and you get several free uses a day
29 May 2025
14 April 2025
9 March 2025
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Their words
It's easy to get impressive-looking results if you're comparing against a poorly-tuned baseline, and that observation turns out to explain a surprising fraction of supposed improvements.
3 February 2025
From one piece DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I think it's actually probably simpler than that. It's probably something related to computer use or robotics rather than science discovery.
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Their words
I think it's even more impressive what OpenAI did in 2022. At the time, no one believed in mixture of experts models at Google who had all the researchers. OpenAI had such little compute and they devoted all of their compute for many months, all of it, 100% for many months to GPT-4 with a brand-new architecture with no belief that, "Hey, let me spend a couple of hundred million dollars, which is all of the money I have on this model." That is truly YOLO.
27 January 2025
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Their words
Also, current models, while impressive, still fall well short of expert human performance.
12 January 2025
24 May 2024
15 May 2024
29 June 2023
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Their words
I think things like MuZero and AlphaGo are so much more impressive because these things are playing beyond the highest human level. The language models are writing middle school level essays and people are like, wow, it’s a great essay.
10 June 2023
13 October 2022
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Star MakerTheir words
It’s really impressive how Stapledon just casually scatters around handfuls of jewels that lesser authors might belabor singly throughout an entire book.
5 November 2021
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