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korrents.com
Within a few years, ordinary people will have on-demand AI superforecasters comparable to top human forecasters.Their words
AI superforecasters are coming. Within a few years, the average person will have the equivalent of a Nate Silver in their pocket, ready to predict whatever question they can think to ask it.
AI Superforecasting Should Transform The FDAastralcodexten.com
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16 September
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korrents.com
The climate impact from NVIDIA's AI products in 2025 is comparable to that of a major state-owned coal company.Their words
we produced our own conservative estimate, finding that the climate impact from 2025's use of NVIDIA'S AI products is on par with the state-owned Russian Coal company.
12 September
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korrents.com
Higher real interest rates reflect a more optimistic collective view of future economic abundance.Their words
Higher real rates mean that the average view of the future is more abundant, and that it's worth sacrificing more to get to that future sooner.
7 September
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Their words
There's an illusion here though that anyone will make it, which I've never portrayed to be true, entrepreneurship is one of the most challenging endeavours, kinda like pro sports
1 September
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korrents.com
Launch costs are on a declining trajectory comparable to Moore's Law-driven chip cost declines in the 1990s.Their words
One reason Starcloud has been so successful at fundraising is that it's a bet on launch costs decreasing, and that's like betting on Moore's Law in the 1990s.
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korrents.com
Comparative policy analysis should be done at the level of sovereign countries, not provinces or regions within them.Their words
But it's not meaningfully possible to understand the world at this scale - macroregions are real but analysis of policy, including transportation but also the usual economic and social topics, has to be down at the level of sovereign states first with no illusion that a province in a large country is comparable to a smaller country.
26 August
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korrents.com
Most AI lab revenue comes from non-frontier models, where cheaper comparable alternatives already exist elsewhere.Their words
what this tells us is that the vast majority of the labs' revenue comes from non-frontier models, for which cheaper, comparable alternatives are already available elsewhere.
17 August
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Their words
I believe that we are now entering a era of comparable turbulence in mathematics. This time, though, what is being stress-tested is not our foundational framework for mathematical truth, but rather the largely implicit framework of mathematical values and practices: what we consider a contribution to be, what we reward, what we regard as understood, and who - or what - we regard as having done the work.
28 July
23 July
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korrents.com
Google currently has no leading frontier AI model and no agentic coding tool comparable to Codex or Claude CodeTheir words
Google, which led on benchmarks not that long ago, has fallen behind where it now counts: it has no leading frontier model and it has nothing close to Codex and Code.
20 July
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Their words
we've gotten to a point now where it's generally accepted that potentially half of cases of dementia are preventable and I think the majority of that falls into those first two buckets Alzheimer's and vascular dementia
7 July
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korrents.com
Robotaxis should be judged and regulated on comparable fleet-wide incident data, not on individual incidents.Their words
More data for better comparisons are good. Now everybody has to do it, and regulators and the public have to learn to look at only the data, and not individual incidents
28 June
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korrents.com
European countries are wealthy enough to afford widespread air conditioning, comparable to Japan.Their words
Europe is not actually poor. Japan is about as wealthy as Europe, and almost all Japanese homes are air-conditioned. Europeans could afford to air-condition their homes (and their hospitals!) just like the Japanese do.
13 June
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korrents.com
The war in Ukraine will prove as historically significant in its outcome as the First World War was.Their words
The war in Ukraine has now lasted longer than the First World War, and there is every reason to think that its outcome will be of comparable historical significance.
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korrents.com
Polished UI is a reasonable signal that a team invested comparable effort in the underlying code quality.Their words
Users can't see the code, so UI is the only way for them to judge the quality of the app. If UI looks good, that means developers had time to polish it, which means that they probably spent a comparable amount of time to iron out the code.
7 April
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korrents.com
Ultra-processed foods have epidemiological evidence of harm comparable to what existed for smoking.Their words
There's strong epidemiological evidence associating ultra-processed foods with a range of negative health outcomes, at least on par with the evidence we had for smoking.
0058: borrow-checking surprises, books, linksscattered-thoughts.net
22 March
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Their words
Some teams can, and but when they do it, they're doing it very, very intentionally. They don't say they're sacrificing quality. They say they're making a risk-based decision.
9 December 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
NARS soft matte concealerTheir words
NARS soft matte concealer. This is the BEST concealer. I've used this for many years and I will never quit it. There is no comparable one for acne.
11 July 2025
8 May 2025
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