Thorsten Ball
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19 September
From one piece What I believe about the future of software development 15 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
"Engineers" who act as "meat proxies" and shove tickets into agents and report back to humans will no longer be valuable.
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Their words
The triad of PM/Design/Eng will disappear. It does not make any bit of sense anymore. Agile, SCRUM, whatever -- dead.
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Open source in it's current form doesn't make sense anymore. "Given enough eyeballs, all bugs are shallow" is still true but now we have artificial eyeballs.
+ 12 more
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The terminal is dead. Most developer tooling will be washed away by tokens. Shells, text editors, CLI tools won't be used by humans anymore. There's no need to know command line flags and jq invocations anymore.
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korrents.com
Tokens are the new computing paradigm on which everything will be remade as computing enters a post-binary era.Their words
Tokens are the new computing paradigm. Everything will be re-made on top of it. We've had deterministic computers for 80 years, so we confuse "how computers have worked" with "how computers must work." We're entering the post-binary era.
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Their words
in the future, humans won't find a bug or an issue with the code produced by a model, at least not in a reasonable time. Humans will only review the system and its composition, but it won't be in PRs and it won't be by looking through every line of the code.
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Their words
Yes. Some people will be priced out of producing software. Just like only some people could afford a personal computer in the 80s and 90s, for the next few years, if you can't get enough tokens, you're playing second league.
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It'll take a generation for the "new software" to replace the "old software". Just like there are people happily employed as ASP developers today, there will be people employed to write code in 10 years.
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Performance critical contributions by humans will stay what they are: an edge case. In 99% of software it does not matter that you could've written a faster algorithm or picked a better data structure.
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Their words
A lot of UI exists because software can't understand what you want. Menus, settings screens, dashboards, filters: much of it is a human-accessible API to a dumb machine. Smart machines need much less UI.
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The difference between software engineering at large corporations and small ones will increase. Start-ups adopting practices of Google will look even sillier than before, because they can now build so much faster and with so much less constraints.
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There's no proof that "good code" will matter in the future. The notion of "good code" itself is mostly based on the idea that it's easy/cheap/efficient for humans to work with. But humans won't modify the majority of code.
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korrents.com
The craft of writing code will disappear, while the craft of building software becomes more important than ever.Their words
The craft of writing code will disappear. Yes, there are still Italian shoe makers around. But look at your feet. The craft of building software will be more important than ever.
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Their words
Most bugs won't be "coding" bugs. They'll be "you asked for the wrong thing" bugs.
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Their words
And what we consider a smart model today will be considered very dumb in the future. But a smarter model makes less mistakes, needs fewer turns.
18 September
17 September
16 September
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