Search
60 results
People
Said and published
-
OpenAI's AGI Eras Tour
-
It’s a question as old as time. Or at least as old as Terminator 2. Is AGI here? spyglass.org/agi-2026/
-
Did Jensen just declare us the first team to make agi?
-
As AGI approaches, online and offline communities will become more important.
I think now that AGI is on the horizon (or some say already here), online and offline (IRL) communities will become really important.
-
AGI is everywhere if you're willing to open your eyes.
-
No way now ChatGPT is down too?!!! Is this the AGI takeover?
-
I don’t think we’ve reached AGI but what we have is functionally indistinguishable from AGI. Because we have a relentless programmer that doesn’t get bored or tired. So any problem that can be casted as a coding problem…
-
The case for building AGI has always been framed around invention, such as curing cancer or solving fusion energy.
The narrative around why building AGI was a good idea has always been about invention -- "it will cure cancer", "it will solve fusion energy", etc.
-
AGI has been declared. Cementing the term's status as nothing more than marketing.
-
OpenAI: "Welcome to the AGI Era." Microsoft, same day: "Welcome to the Transcription Era."
-
AGI should not be declared until AI is capable of invention, including conceptual breakthroughs, novel insights, and new real-world technology.
So I would not "declare AGI" until we have AI that is, at last, capable of invention -- conceptual breakthroughs, novel insights, new real-world technology, etc.
-
mean people are aging themselves
-
The narrative around why building AGI was a good idea has always been about invention -- "it will cure cancer", "it will solve fusion energy", etc. So I would not "declare AGI" until we have AI that is, at last, capable…
-
GPT-6 Hits AGI? Tech Euphoria 2.0, SF Mansion Shortage, NYC Bans AI in Schools & Venezuela Oil Deal
-
Google gets away with it
-
my hunch is that AI alignment is a red herring, and the way to protect against a crazy powerful AGI mulching the earth into infinite paperclips is to release ANOTHER crazy powerful AGI that will hopefully stop it blog…
-
Software did not invent iterative development: mining engineers had their Agile revolution in 1960.
And the first thing he pointed out to me was that they had their Agile revolution in 1960.
-
chapter 1 of Greg Egan’s DIASPORA is the realest depiction of the birth of a continuous learning AGI that we’ll have until we actually have AGI and it can tell us he shared it for free on his website. Read it (then buy…
-
my hunch is that AI alignment is a red herring, and the way to protect against a crazy powerful AGI mulching the earth into infinite paperclips is to release ANOTHER crazy powerful AGI that will hopefully stop it blog…
-
chapter 1 of Greg Egan’s DIASPORA is the realest depiction of the birth of a continuous learning AGI that we’ll have until we actually have AGI and it can tell us he shared it for free on his website. Read it (then buy…
-
Economists should be worried about birth rates
-
AGI is officially here.
-
Open Source Wins, AGI Is Here, and Scorsese's AI Toolkit with CEOs of Cerebras & Black Forest Labs
-
This is very nice work from NVIDIA. Like all high-performing approaches on ARC-AGI-3, it uses deep learning-guided on-the-fly synthesis of symbolic world models, i.e. navigating the world by generating programs to…
-
seeing the Astra + Blender work makes me think open source tools will have a strong advantage in the AGI era given how much A) online content exists around them and the models learn from that. B) they tend to be more…
-
Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI
-
…de la longue fin de semaine pour partir à la découverte du Canada, qu’il s’agisse de nos parcs nationaux, de musées, de galeries d’art et bien plus encore, à moindre…
-
Dear Babies: On navigating aging parents
-
There is a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045
I think there's a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045.
-
Asked when an AI could build a billion-dollar business on its own: AGI has already arrived.
I think it's now. I think we've achieved AGI.
-
…(Meta did it, worked great) OpenAI leadership resisted, saying that in an AGI-first world, there will be no internal tooling teams. And they were right: now, with Codex, there's a massive internal tools explosion,…
-
…Each additional "hassler" in your network predicts 1.5% faster biological aging—and worse health a year later. Non-spouse family hasslers are the most problematic. Some ties aren't worth the toll they…
-
AGI is not a finish line to be crossed but a smear with width, and we are already standing on it.
some bits of AI are way across the finish line, some bits are like maybe in the middle of it. Who knew the line had dimension? The finish line is actually this sort of smear. And I think the best answer you can give is…
-
Passing ARC-AGI does not amount to achieving AGI: o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences from human intelligence.
Passing ARC-AGI does not equate to achieving AGI, and, as a matter of fact, I don't think o3 is AGI yet. o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences with human intelligence.
-
1Password — AgileBits
1Password, manage passwords.
-
#490 – State of AI in 2026: LLMs, Coding, Scaling Laws, China, Agents, GPUs, AGI
-
…Spikes/high levels: > rust blood vessels > damage heart > accelerate organ aging > strain pancreas > trigger cellular inflammation Steady levels: > sharpen cognition > protect arteries > preserve organs > powers deep…
-
…find it worth the wait. It scores 98% on FrontierMath Tier 4, 99.9% on ARC-AGI 3, and 100% on…
-
State of AI in 2026: LLMs, Coding, Scaling Laws, China, Agents, GPUs, AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #490
-
ARC-AGI — The Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus
-
GPT-6 Astra represents a step-function change in model capability for interactive reasoning problems. It scores 66% on ARC-AGI-3 using our standard harness, and nearly 100% with a continuous conversation harness and…
-
Three Observations
-
Side note: when we released ARC-AGI-3 in March, and frontier models scored <1% on it, a few Singularitarian poasters took it as a personal insult, and got very worked up about it. They argued the benchmark was…
-
…age within 3.3 years + diabetes better than Apple’s model + speed of aging + heart failure at 0.822 This Eight Sleep model is possibly the most accurate contactless bioage estimate ever reported. What we did: #1…
-
The road to AGI is going to be a giant power struggle, and anyone building it should expect that rather than hope to avoid it.
The road to AGI should be a giant power struggle. The world should… Well, not should. I expect that to be the case.
-
The premise of LLMs leading to AGI is that if just you wordcel hard enough, a shape rotator magically pops out.
-
China's ageing population will not do serious damage to its economy until the second half of this century.
But China’s economic might is not going to go “poof” and disappear from population aging; in fact, as I’ll explain, it probably won’t suffer significant problems from aging until the second half of this century.
-
Tower 28 — Tower 28
Tower 28 was designed with aging in mind (oy vey) so all the products are super light and won't add more wrinkles to your wrinkles.
-
A small studio’s advantage over a large one is the ability to change direction fast, not the ability to out-polish it.
Our advantage is agility and lack of corporate cultural encumbrance.
-
Moosewood — Moosewood
All the Moosewood cookbooks are so delightful. They are the book form of my favorite genre of friends' moms growing up: an aging hippie who's been shopping at the same patchouli-scented health food store since the '70s
-
It would be depressing to reach AGI and still need a human body to get anything done in the physical world, so robots have to be part of the transition.
I think it’s depressing if we have AGI and the only way to get things done in the physical world is to make a human go do it. So I really hope that as part of this transition, as this phase change, we also get humanoid…
-
Asking when AGI will arrive is a poorly formed question; the answerable question is when a system will be able to do a particular capability.
…poorly formed, and that people use extremely different definitions for what AGI is. So I think it makes more sense to talk about when we’ll build systems that can do capability X or Y or Z, rather than when we fuzzily…
-
Short timelines with a slow takeoff is the safest of the four ways AGI could arrive, and the quadrant we should be trying to land in.
And I’ve said for a long time that you think of a quadrant of slow timelines for the start of AGI, long timelines, and then a short takeoff or a fast takeoff. I think short timeline, slow takeoff is the safest quadrant…
-
Quietly dropping physical work from the definition of AGI is a major concession, not a clarification.
Now, number one, the first concession that people make all the time is they just take out all the physical stuff because we're just talking about digital knowledge work. I feel like that's a pretty major concession…
-
Work on large language models is not progress toward artificial general intelligence, because the models do not understand what they read.
It’s become very difficult for me to maintain the belief in the stupidity of ChatGPT when every time I laugh at it, it ends up ridiculing me 6 months later.
-
What any individual human can do comes from collectively built scaffolding rather than from the individual, and AGI may turn out to be more like that scaffolding than like a single brain.
But what you have is this scaffolding that we all contributed to built on top of. No one person is going to go build the iPhone. No one person is going to go discover all of science, and yet you get to use it. And that…
-
Even a country of geniuses in a datacentre will not be an infinitely compelling product; it buys three to ten times growth a year, not instant adoption.
but it's not an infinitely compelling product, and I don't think even AGI or powerful AI or country of geniuses in a data center will be an infinitely compelling product. It will be a compelling product enough maybe to…
-
No company should be making the decisions about AGI, and no one person should have super-voting control of one; governments have to put rules of the road in place.
I continue to not want super-voting control over OpenAI. I never have. Never have had it, never wanted it. Even after all this craziness, I still don’t want it. I continue to think that no company should be making these…
-
The board of a nonprofit answers to no one but itself, and the board governing the road to AGI ought instead to answer to the world as a whole.
In this case, and I think one of the things with our structure that we maybe should have thought about more than we did is that the board of a nonprofit has, unless you put other rules in place, quite a lot of power.…