Robert Wachter

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15 October

Robert WachterKorrents 15 Oct

From one piece Robert Wachter 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there

korrents.com
The debate over healthcare rationing in the U.S. will become politicized as AI tradeoffs become explicit.

America

Their words

As these tradeoffs become explicit, we can expect a vigorous debate about rationing. And in the U.S., we can guarantee it will be politicized.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
AI's primary impact on healthcare costs will be through its influence on clinical decisions.

Their words

But AI's real impact on costs will come through its effect on clinical decisions.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
The rise of AI in healthcare will lead to the dissemination of specific encoded values at scale.

Their words

As AI-enabled decision support becomes more robust, more persuasive, and perhaps even agentic, it will quietly encode one set of values and disseminate it at scale.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com

15 September

Robert WachterKorrents 15 Sept

From one piece Robert Wachter 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there

korrents.com
A general antipathy toward AI might lead to a slowdown in the implementation of healthcare tools that can currently save lives and ease suffering.

Their words

What I hope doesn't happen is that a general antipathy toward AI and AI companies bleeds into a slowdown in the implementation of healthcare tools that can - today - save lives, ease suffering, and improve the lot of both patients and clinicians.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
Even if no new models are released for several years, healthcare will still require that much time to absorb existing AI tools.

politics

Their words

Even if not a single new model were released in the next few years, it would take that much time for healthcare to build sensible local governance, to agree on and adopt reasonable regulations, to work through the politics and changes in the payment system, to retool our training programs, and to see which of the hundreds of AI companies vying for a place in healthcare's ecosystem survive.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
The AI we currently have is sufficient to address many important clinical problems.

Their words

This means that the AI we already have is good enough to address many of our most important clinical problems.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com

27 August

Robert WachterKorrents 27 Aug

From one piece Robert Wachter 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there

korrents.com
A healthcare system could exist where AI provides basic preventive and urgent care while humans provide more complex clinical and emotional care.

Their words

I can imagine a system in which basic preventive and urgent care is provided quite competently - and less expensively and more conveniently - by AI, whereas more complex care, both clinical and emotional, is provided by humans.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
AI's diagnostic performance on curated facts does not prove it can replace doctors who are experts at creating problem representations.

Their words

All of this means that AI's diagnostic performance on a curated set of clinical facts should not be taken as compelling evidence that "Dr. AI" can replace actual doctors, who are experts in creating correct and useful problem representations.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
AI will often outperform humans in diagnosis and management decisions when given a curated set of facts.

Their words

Given a curated set of facts, AI will often outperform humans in diagnosis and management decisions - and we doctors may sometimes get in the way if we try to intervene.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com

26 May

Robert WachterKorrents 26 May

From one piece Robert Wachter 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there

korrents.com
The new AI will be good for health and healthcare because the technology is remarkable and the status quo is lacking.

Their words

I believe the new AI will be good for health and healthcare, in part because the technology is remarkable and in part because the status quo is woefully lacking.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
Healthcare may be the industry where AI has the greatest positive impact on the average person.

measuring intelligenceAGI

Their words

Conversely, healthcare may be the industry where AI has the greatest positive impact on the average person - meaning that AI executives should focus more on talking about it, while talking less about insider brass rings like achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI).

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
The growing backlash against AI may profoundly affect the pace of AI implementation in medicine.

Their words

But there's no firewall between healthcare and the rest of our lives, and so the growing backlash may profoundly affect the pace of AI implementation in medicine.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com

17 December 2025

Robert WachterKorrents 17 Dec 2025

From one piece Robert Wachter 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there

korrents.com
AI is more likely to assist nurses in performing their jobs more effectively than to replace those jobs entirely for the foreseeable future.

robotics

Their words

For the foreseeable future, it's more likely that AI and robots will assist nurses in performing their jobs more effectively - enabling them to practice closer to the top of their license - than replace those jobs entirely.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
The displacement of human workers performing non-client-facing work is likely to be mirrored in every knowledge-based field.

Their words

The displacement of human workers performing non-client-facing work - particularly entry-level workers - seems certain to be mirrored in every knowledge-based field, such as accounting, consulting, law, and software development.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
AI will lead to the loss of hundreds of thousands of healthcare jobs, but few will be among physicians, allied health professionals, and nurses in the next decade.

Their words

My prediction is that AI will lead to the loss of hundreds of thousands of healthcare jobs, but few of these will be among physicians, allied health professionals (AHPs), and nurses, at least in the next decade.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com

2 December 2025

Robert WachterKorrents 2 Dec 2025

From one piece Robert Wachter 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there

korrents.com
The current AI boon in healthcare is built on a foundation too solid to sink entirely.

Their words

in healthcare at least, today's AI boon is built on too solid a foundation to sink entirely.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
The growth of AI in healthcare will ultimately track with the technology's transformative capabilities.

Their words

the growth of AI in healthcare will ultimately track with the technology's transformative capabilities.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com
korrents.com
Healthcare AI will realize its full transformative potential even though most healthcare AI start-ups will fail.

startups

Their words

Healthcare AI will realize its full transformative potential, even though most healthcare AI start-ups will fail.

Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com

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