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Jason Zweig x.com
the first one that falls down is the one with the most Situational Awareness
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20 September
21 August
5 August
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This is the Jevons paradox in action: making compute cheaper per token in turn tends to lead to greater levels of AI use.
2 August
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Top-down works well if leadership is good enough to be in the weeds and be specifically correct. I think where it falls apart is where you don't actually know ground truth and then you attempt to manage people from above and that's where I think the term micromanagement comes from.
20 July
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we've gotten to a point now where it's generally accepted that potentially half of cases of dementia are preventable and I think the majority of that falls into those first two buckets Alzheimer's and vascular dementia
4 June
From one piece The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammell 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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then the quantity of everything that's not a ballerina, say, goes to infinity, but our the marginal utility in that stuff goes to zero faster than the quantity is rising.
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the capital stock could grow quickly, but the price of capital goods relative to consumption goods could be falling faster than the capital stock is growing.
2 June
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The way I think of the abyss is it's this place that we go to as founders and entrepreneurs after our thing, after it dies or it's bought or it's over for whatever reason. It's this amorphous place that we are in our life that has no structure.
25 March
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You can give it a Bash tool so it can ripgrep its way through the codebase. You can give it some queryable codebase index, an LSP server, a vector database. In the end it doesn't matter much. The bigger the codebase, the lower the recall. Low recall means that your agent will, in fact, not find all the code it needs to do a good job.
13 March
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So to scale compute further right there's some different bottlenecks this year next year uh but ultimately by 2829 the bottleneck falls to the lowest rung on the supply chain which is ASML right ASML makes the world's most complicated machine i.e. an EUV tool.
16 February
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