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David Spiegelhalter x.com
https://t.co/b8OEpYqvYT This seems a predictable failure, as 2021 data showed the test only picked up 28% of Stage 1/2 cancers. How much did this study of 140,000 patients cost? And the list price for detecting one cancer using GRAIL is $200,000 - was it ever feasible for NHS?
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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26 August
21 July
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That is mostly in the realm of chemistry and is intrinsically far more tractable and predictable; given a validated target, good teams usually reach a decent molecule.
Intelligence is not the main bottleneckwritingruxandrabio.com
16 July
9 July
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korrents.com
Ask an AI lazily for a strategy and you get the predictable move your competitors already expect from you.Their words
I think if you ask an AI just for a strategy lazily, you're not going to get something great. You're going to get something pretty predictable that probably the competition would expect you to do.
21 June
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They are none of these things. All three were predictable and overdetermined.
Chartbook 452 Europe's Machiavellian moment?adamtooze.substack.com
18 February
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The world may be complex, but complex systems are typically controlled by a small number of highly stable invariants.
23 October 2025
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durable workflows are scaling errors as values to your infrastructure. errors as values lead to predictable, maintainable, and scalable software.
22 March 2025
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korrents.com
AI helps exactly as far as the work is predictable and well documented, and stops helping on anything cutting edge.Their words
Okay, my general view is it comes down to something that's pretty simple, which is that if you're doing something in which is very predictable, AI is really nice. When you're doing something that is just not predictable, AI is not very nice to use. If you're using anything that's more cutting edge, AI will not be using it, or AI won't be very good at doing stuff with it.
3 July 2024
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Coup de ChanceTheir words
Coup de Chance (France) 3.0 Full of tastefully done scenes filmed by Vittorio Storaro, but somewhat inert and lifeless. For a major director, Woody Allen has surprisingly little feel for the art of cinema—a fact that is usually covered up by his clever dialogue. Working in French he seems out of his comfort zone (or is it the subtitles?) The dialogue seems less sharp, more predictable.
25 July 2022
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Their words
In my opinion the root cause of this bug is that when a white american developer sees a terminal they immediately interpret it as this idealized cartesian plane where they can lay out any writing they want in neatly-spaced characters that behave in "predictable" ways (in other words, behave exactly like English).
15 January 2022
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