Lots of risk with AI. I worry a lot about cybersecurity for example. However, “extinction risk” — literally 100% of humans die — is not remotely one of them.
The concerns over AI safety and cybersecurity are legitimate, but we’re risking talking America, the global AI leader, into self-inflicted obsolescence and the obscurity of bureaucracy.
A clear risk discussed throughout this year is to cybersecurity: the models are becoming superhuman in their ability to break in and out of computer systems.
Astra is now the best cybersecurity model in the world on @vercel DeepsecBench. It pulls off in 49 minutes what took Sol ~4 hours, with a better score, at nearly the same cost.
I do think I want to push back on the cyber on the brain hypothesis that you raised a couple of times. We didn't find like particular evidence for the cyber nature of the task making all the hacking and crimes that they did more likely versus the impossible nature of the task.
even in this incident we saw there was a lot of pressure um as a result of this incident to stop doing cyber security evaluations and I really don't think that stopping doing evaluations and like sort of blinding ourselves to the result of evaluations is the right reaction to this problem.
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