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Byrne Hobart x.com
Today's free issue of The Diff: thoughts on pacing the frontier—particularly, the possibility that even a deliberately slower pace will be faster than people expect.
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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17 September
14 September
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Their words
One live possibility is that a deliberately slower pace of releases would still feel like an acceleration from the previous pace of AI improvement
11 September
8 September
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korrents.com
Love makes it possible to bridge the fundamental gap between two people; alienation is refusing to try.Their words
To me, the possibility of partnership is the feeling that despite the fundamental chasm between two human beings, love allows us to bridge the gap; alienation is the feeling that the gap cannot be bridged, and moreover, that I do not want to.
4 September
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Keeping the RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5 runs as a plausible upper limit is particularly important given that recent research has emphasized the possibility that models are underestimating future warming.
26 August
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So we should also have the humility. As amazing as the LLMs are now, it could be that they eventually plateau. We haven't seen any evidence of it yet, and I think this is also why we're seeing this absolute gobsmacking levels of investment, because so far the scaling laws are true, and the more billions are poured in, the more intelligence comes out.
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Then there's another possibility which is that it actually already has worked but just the productivity boost isn't as big as would be obvious if people got 10% more productive. That would still be pretty impressive because it's hard to get a 10% across the board uplift.
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Such, indeed fragile, peace not only puts an end to today’s carnage, but leaves open a possibility of eventual long-term solution between Russia and Ukraine.
On European hypocrisy and warmongeringbranko2f7.substack.com
7 August
8 May
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korrents.com
The right way to think about Neanderthals may be as culturally modern humans who ended up mostly archaic genetically.Their words
So, uh I'm interested in the possibility that actually the right way to think about Neanderthals is actually as somehow culturally modern humans. Uh and uh even though that genetically they're mostly Denisovans.
7 April
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And I think the like the third and the most interesting possibility is no, that like they're they're a new type of object in some in some sense. They should be taken very seriously as as explanations, but where in the past we haven't had the ability to really do anything with them.
2 April
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