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David Spiegelhalter Papers
Communicating personalized risks from COVID-19: guidelines from an empirical study
coronavirusaccumulatepersonalized
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7 September
3 September
31 August
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Their words
And that's why we say motivation is 90% of the problem or the solution because you have to be able to motivate the person to engage with these personalized lessons to learn it.
28 July
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korrents.com
“Work on what you know” is the worst advice there is: knowledge can be acquired, but what you love cannot be changed.Their words
So I think the worst advice is like work on what you know. Uh what you know can be changed. Particularly in a world where you everyone has personalized AI tutors. Anybody with passion and dedication can learn new knowledge and learn new skills. But what you can't change easily is what you love.
15 June
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korrents.com
A good book clears out stale assumptions and disturbs the old ideas a reader has let accumulate.Their words
A good book sweeps a corner of your brain. Clears out a stale assumption. Disturbs the ecosystem of old ideas you've been letting accumulate rent-free.
3 May
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korrents.com
Software development will shift from centralized systems to highly personalized, proliferating software abundance.Their words
Going forward, I think the future will be filled with software abundance, or, more accurately, I'd call it "software proliferation". That is, centralized development will be history. Software will be highly personalized, especially for open source software.
1 April
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Their words
if you try to do a really good job at every company you've been working well with all the people that you work with, including your own team, your peer, whatever it is. Over time, very slowly, you accumulate a decent reputation in people's mind.
23 January
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korrents.com
A personalized classifier needs several hundred labeled examples before its predictions become reliable.Their words
Predictions were poor until I got to over 250 samples in the training set.
Email triage with an embedding-based classifieradamwiggins.com
1 January
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Their words
are your small actions accumulating or are they evaporating? You know, are you doing small things each day that are oriented toward a larger outcome or are you doing small things each day that are just kind of like one-offs and don't really add up? In a lot of ways, I feel like the two time frames that matter most in life are 10 years and 1 hour
19 January 2025
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Their words
Milton Friedman is very open to doing things differently in a state of emergency. He will have different ideas during World War II than any other time and that's why I argue I think he would have been supportive of at least the first rounds of coronavirus relief because I think he would have put his emergency thinking hat on.
1 December 2024
28 August 2022
20 October 2020
24 June 2020
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