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Their words
AI plausibly increases the risk at the margin. Whether that increase is small or catastrophic depends on factors such as AI capability trajectories, biosecurity responses, governance, etc.
What AI can and cannot do in biosecurityyourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com
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The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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16 September
14 September
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korrents.com
Climate change made the July 2025 Texas flooding more intense than it otherwise would have beenTheir words
Given that we can connect increases in PWAT to global warming, we can confidently conclude that climate change made this rain event more intense than it otherwise would have been.
The Atmosphere Just Set a Water Vapor Recordtheclimatebrink.com
13 September
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Their words
Now recently the U.S. economy has experienced a huge positive shock to its Intelligence, with more to come. The core prediction is that this increases marginal returns, employment, and real wages in the Polanyi knowledge sector.
A simple model of AI-aided economic growthmarginalrevolution.com
11 September
8 September
7 September
18 August
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Their words
A high price naturally increases turnover, as people come and go.
12 August
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Their words
without metadata prompting when you add lower quality data from 80% data to 100% data the performance actually decreases which is perhaps not too surprising because you're adding lowquality data to your data mixture whereas with the metadata prompting the performance actually increases when you add that lowquality data
13 July
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Their words
but as you get older that tends to decline with age which I thought was kind of perplexing because I you know a lot of curious people but we found that levels of state curiosity when I give you some interesting bit of information but I don't give you the answer if it's something you care about that actually increases with age your level of curiosity and learning.
22 April
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korrents.com
Scalability is not a property a system has; it is the set of mechanisms it has for coping with a change in load.Their words
Scalability is just like what mechanisms we have for dealing with changes in load. If load increases, how can we add computing capacity to a system, for example, so that the system still continues working?
14 March
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Their words
LLMs make it easy for anyone to add new features to the product. Even before AI, teams were battling feature creep, where the product becomes increasingly complex, bloated, and cluttered.
25 January
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Their words
So what usually h what often happens is you raise prices and signups don't change. When I say signups, I mean the like signups per month, you know, the rate at sign or signups go up. This happens all the time.
15 January
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korrents.com
Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decadesTheir words
Scrutiny typically either jumps several points on any 10-point scale after an incident that kills a bunch of people, or increases very slowly over decades.
8 December 2025
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Their words, before
we will see batteries aggressively displace transmission as the most cost-effective way to ensure continuity of electricity supply, leading to an eventual pruning of the grid and drastic reduction in the average distance that power travels between production and consumption, even as the average time that power is stored increases.
Their words now
Do we need to drastically expand the grid in order to metabolize renewables? No.
16 October 2025
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Their words
Have we seen productivity increases? Yeah, mild to moderate, but like that is not something that has made our new headcount we want for engineering go down.
13 October 2025
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Their words
empirically cortisol promotes fat storage and muscle breakdown, and increases insulin resistance.
18 September 2025
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korrents.com
The difficulty of raising more children increases gradually enough that parents adapt to it without noticing.Their words
It rarely gets hard all at once. You slide into the new level of challenge without really noticing it.
12 September 2025
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Their words
So, I think it'll be the same thing that that we'll see an increase in the scope that we're giving that we're willing to give to the robots as they get better and better where initially the scope might be like there is a particular thing you do like you're making the coffee or something. Uh whereas as they get more capable, as their ability to have common sense and a broader repertoire of tasks increases, then we'll give them greater scope. Now you're running the whole coffee shop.
14 June 2025
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Their words
Yeah, these are great work that shows what's possible. The approach doesn't scale currently. Three days of Google's server time can solve one high school math format there. This is not a scalable prospect, especially with the exponential increase as the complexity increases.
15 May 2025
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Their words
That’s because most clean energy jobs are in deployment and maintenance rather than manufacturing, and since higher costs slow down the rollout of renewables, increasing prices reduces the total number of people working in clean energy (even if the number working in manufacturing increases).
23 March 2025
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Their words
which is number one, you can measure product market fit. Number two, you can optimize product market fit. Number three, you can systematically even numerically increase product market fit. And number four, you can even have an algorithm write your road map for you.
12 March 2025
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korrents.com
At the national level there is no clear evidence that more education raises living standards at all.Their words
At the national level, it’s not clear that education increases living standards at all, much less that education makes countries’ living standards increase at a faster rate.
3 February 2025
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Their words
To some extent, training a model does effectively nothing. They have a model. The thing that Dario is sort of speaking to is the implementation of that model, once trained to then create huge economic growth, huge increases in military capabilities, huge increases in productivity of people, betterment of lives.
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