- Imagine There Was No Naturalistic Decision-Making MovementThe Naturalistic Decision-Making community just celebrated its 40th anniversary. A counterfactual exercise of imagining that NDM had never started reveals its many contributions.
Gary Klein
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16 August
11 March
- Caregivers Can Look Backward to Move ForwardCaregivers for people with dementia can get caught up in all the capabilities the patient has lost. Perhaps it is possible to learn to notice the strengths the person still has.
17 February
- Toilet Paper as a WeaponA mindset of adaptability and improvisation, coupled with perspective-taking skills, can help people overcome what look like overwhelming challenges.
9 January
- 4 Decision Games That Changed MeMore than reading about theory, actual experiences are what shape our understanding. These can be efficiently provided through scenario training such as Tactical Decision Games.
8 November 2025
- The Joy of Political CanvassingPolitical canvassing—going house-to-house—seems like a tedious chore. But here's how one candidate adopted a mindset filled with curiosity and adventure. And she won her race.
21 September 2025
- Why Do People Make Risky Decisions?There are several reasons why people might voluntarily engage in risky sports and activities, and we should not try to find a simple, single-cause explanation for their behaviors.
9 August 2025
- How I Became a Naturalistic ResearcherPersonal Perspective: Controlled experiments and methodological rigor are important for testing hypotheses, but a naturalistic approach may be better for studying decision-making.
9 July 2025
- Double-Barreled Pre-MortemsThe pre-mortem method for risk assessment can make people very risk-averse. A double-barreled pre-mortem could help foster boldness to balance the risk aversion.
22 May 2025
- Decision-Centered HistoryPsychologists can help the telling of history by flagging major decisions and speculating about how they were made. In that way, we can provide a decision-centered history.
23 April 2025
- Can AI Do Pre-Mortems for Us?AI systems can churn out effective pre-mortem critiques of plans. But they miss the team dynamics and culture-building benefits of in-person pre-mortem sessions.
6 March 2025
- The Problem With ExperienceMost people gain expertise on their own, not through training programs or coaching. But experience alone will not lead to expertise. It's just the starting point.
6 February 2025
- Contrast Sets: The Importance of Anticipating ConfusionTraining should not just be about presenting material. Trainers need to anticipate where people can get confused and then skillfully introduce contrast sets to foster expertise.
8 January 2025
- The Difference Between Expertise and ExpertsPersonal Perspective: While there is no gold standard for who is an expert, the development and application of expertise are important in many different professions and activities.
31 July 2024
- Why Introverts Have a Hidden Advantage in the WorkplaceExtraverts seem like better leaders and entrepreneurs. However, introverts have advantages.
29 June 2024
- Illuminators and DiminishersTraditional decision research makes us feel inadequate, doubting even the experts. Naturalistic decision-making does the reverse; it excites us about expertise and our abilities.
18 April 2024
- Conversations With KahnemanA Personal Perspective: Danny Kahneman, cofounder of the heuristics and biases school, and I engaged in an adversarial collaboration. We found ways to develop intuitive expertise.
13 March 2024
- Making the Most of a FailureA Personal Perspective: If we think about our failures, we can diagnose what went wrong, and strengthen our mental models.
13 February 2024
- Spotting Exaggerated Claims for AI Superiority Over ExpertsDevelopers of AI systems often exaggerate their superiority to people. Watch out for learning confounds, accusations of biases, smuggled expertise, and analytical gimmickry.
30 November 2023
- Should We Cancel Socrates?Socrates was an intellectual bully who humiliated those he debated, an approach that persists today. Perhaps we should shift to adversarial collaboration.
15 September 2023
- 6 Questions To Size Up Your Team’s DynamicsCognitive diversity can help or hinder a team's performance. This essay presents a six-question self-test for teams to use in assessment.
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