Charles Fain Lehman
Fellow at the Manhattan Institute writing on crime, drugs and policing; writes The Causal Fallacy.
Charles Fain Lehman did not write this page. ppll compiled it from their own words, each linked to the source. Is this you? · Report a mistake
Latest Newsletter
What they believe
-
That a ban creates a black market is not by itself an argument against the ban.
What’s fallacious is to argue that this fact necessarily means the prohibition does not “work,” or is not better than legalization.
thecausalfallacy.substack.comSaid 13 Jul 2026This on korrents
-
Putting people into temporary shelter cuts crime and psychiatric emergencies without waiting for permanent housing to be built.
It turns out that simply getting people into temporary shelter—often derided by the homelessness-industrial complex as a band-aid—significantly reduces both social and individual harms of unsheltered homelessness.
thecausalfallacy.substack.comSaid 22 Oct 2025This on korrents
The bold line is korrents’ wording; the quote is theirs. These 2: what they wrote before what they said aloud, one per source, newest first.
Feed
As its own page →Hiding
23 October
3 August
13 July
From one piece The Black Markets Fallacy 2 beliefs · thecausalfallacy.substack.com
-
korrents.com
Prohibition reduces how much of a product is consumed rather than merely moving the same consumption underground.Their words
Quantity consumed under prohibition is almost always smaller than quantity consumed under legalization.
-
Their words
What’s fallacious is to argue that this fact necessarily means the prohibition does not “work,” or is not better than legalization.
29 June
12 January
17 November 2025
4 November 2025
29 October 2025
22 October 2025
From one piece You Don't Have to End Homelessness To Make Cities Safer 2 beliefs · thecausalfallacy.substack.com
-
Their words
Read this in the context of Christopher et al., and the reasonable conclusion is that many of the problems associated with homelessness are the result of unsheltered homelessness.
-
Their words
It turns out that simply getting people into temporary shelter—often derided by the homelessness-industrial complex as a band-aid—significantly reduces both social and individual harms of unsheltered homelessness.
16 October 2025
15 October 2025
28 August 2025
26 August 2025
22 August 2025
21 August 2025
-
Their words
Years of reform mean that almost everyone who can be diverted from Rikers already is.
Nothing matches.
Beliefs
Korrents What they believe 8 beliefs — each backed by an exact quote.
Each is a — compiled by korrents.com, not by them: the one-line wordings are korrents', the quotes are theirs.
Recent
That a ban creates a black market is not by itself an argument against the ban.
What’s fallacious is to argue that this fact necessarily means the prohibition does not “work,” or is not better than legalization.
The Black Markets Fallacy Said 13 Jul 2026
Prohibition reduces how much of a product is consumed rather than merely moving the same consumption underground.
Quantity consumed under prohibition is almost always smaller than quantity consumed under legalization.
The Black Markets Fallacy Said 13 Jul 2026
Putting people into temporary shelter cuts crime and psychiatric emergencies without waiting for permanent housing to be built.
It turns out that simply getting people into temporary shelter—often derided by the homelessness-industrial complex as a band-aid—significantly reduces both social and individual harms of unsheltered homelessness.
You Don't Have to End Homelessness To Make Cities Safer Said 22 Oct 2025
Show 5 more
The social harms attributed to homelessness come from people being unsheltered, not from their lacking a permanent home.
Read this in the context of Christopher et al., and the reasonable conclusion is that many of the problems associated with homelessness are the result of unsheltered homelessness.
You Don't Have to End Homelessness To Make Cities Safer Said 22 Oct 2025
Criminal justice reform has already diverted nearly everyone who can be diverted, so further decarceration means releasing people charged with violence.
Years of reform mean that almost everyone who can be diverted from Rikers already is.
Prison Abolition in New York? Said 21 Aug 2025
The war on drugs is not the main cause of American mass incarceration, because drug offenders were never a large share of the prison population.
Drug offenders never accounted for a particularly large fraction of the U.S. prison population, peaking at about 22 percent of state prisoners in 1990.
What Was The War on Drugs? Part V Said 28 May 2025
Drug enforcement cut casual use and barely touched heavy users, who account for most of the drugs consumed.
But by the available evidence, the War on Drugs was far less successful at reducing use among the “hard core” of users, mostly meaning people addicted to their drug of choice.
What Was The War on Drugs? Part V Said 28 May 2025
After two decades of the war on drugs, drugs were cheaper and more potent than when it began.
After two decades of the War on Drugs, in other words, drugs were much cheaper and more potent than they were when the War on Drugs began.
What Was The War on Drugs? Part V Said 28 May 2025
What is a korrent?
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at korrents.com.
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said. The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
Where they publish
Newsletter The Causal Fallacy His newsletter on crime, drug policy and what the data supports. Has a feed.
Open thecausalfallacy.substack.com
Recent
- Why Flock Cameras Aren’t a Panopticon 23 Oct 2026 Maybe we should be a little clearer about what we mean by “mass surveillance.”
- Marijuana Is More Like Cigarettes Than Like Alcohol 3 Aug 2026 And why that matters.
- The Black Markets Fallacy 13 Jul 2026 Why the existence of black markets is not an argument against prohibition.
Show 17 more
- Help! I'm Writing a Book! 29 Jun 2026 And I need you to help me find interview subjects...
- Making Men Immoral 12 Jan 2026 Why government can prohibit vice.
- Actually, Most Americans Are Fine With Jews 17 Nov 2025 So everyone needs to stop pretending otherwise.
- I'm Livestreaming About Tonight's Mayoral Election! 4 Nov 2025 Over on MI’s substack! Me, colleagues, possible appearance by Pirate Wires’s Mike Solana! Click the button below to access it!
- Everything You Ever Wanted to Know About Civilian Crisis Responders But Were Too Afraid to Ask 29 Oct 2025 Me at CJ Substack
- You Don't Have to End Homelessness To Make Cities Safer 22 Oct 2025 Putting people in temporary shelter makes everyone better off, new study says.
- Transit Safety and Tiny Houses 16 Oct 2025 Two new pieces from me
- We Don't Have to Live With AI-Generated Porn 15 Oct 2025 It's obscenity all the way down
- The Sports Gambling Backlash Is Here 28 Aug 2025 Gamblers are ruining their lives, and Americans want action. What can we do?
- Defining Luigism Down 26 Aug 2025 Incitement, civility, and the new pro-murder movement
- A TCF Reader Poll 22 Aug 2025 *Henny Youngman voice* take my survey, please!
- Prison Abolition in New York? 21 Aug 2025
- Rossi's Revenge 19 Aug 2025 Why guaranteed income programs fail; or, the Neoconservative critique
- TRPP Laws: Targeted Regulation of Pornography Providers 29 Jul 2025 Because prohibition and regulation are the same thing
- Why America Has Hate Speech Laws 11 Jul 2025 On civility and public life
- I'm Debating Drug Legalization 21 Jun 2025 For my D.C. subscribers...
- What Was The War on Drugs? Part V 28 May 2025 Two Cheers for the War on Drugs
Link verified 20 Sept 2026. Recent items update automatically from the channel.
About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter, especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked article and a belief on korrents.com are left in their original language.