From one piece Why companies are becoming a series of loops | Anish Acharya (a16z) 20 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I think today we're almost seeing the opposite problem where, you know, an idea that's too small is not something that we want to engage with.
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Their words
I always say that nobody has a growth problem these days, they have a product problem.
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Their words
I've learned in that the big ideas are always supported by a dozen small ideas that are invisible. And even if somebody replicates your big idea, they they never see the small ideas that make the big idea work.
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Their words
And then, I think the other is that we seem to have forgotten that the classic moats, none of the classic moats are based on how hard it is to make the software.
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Their words
I mean, I think that the entire trend of human existence has been that our desires grow faster than our ability to fulfill them.
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korrents.com
Calling a model too dangerous to release conflates marketing, inference capacity and competitive considerations.Their words
Um but I think the sort of concept of the model that's too dangerous to release, it it kind of conflates marketing, um inference capacity, and then also economic considerations like do you want to externalize your competitive advantage or use it to make yourself better?
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Their words
The most important thing that we can do with AI to change the kind of conversation around it is make important things cheap. There's two things that are extraordinarily important in America that have only gotten more expensive, right? Health care and education.
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korrents.com
AI unbundles skill from desire: someone can now make music without knowing how to play an instrument.Their words
It kind of unbundles skill from desire. For example, if you want to make music, you can make music now. You don't have to know how to play the piano.
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korrents.com
AI that makes people feel more connected and loved is a product design challenge, not a model capability challenge.Their words
How do we apply these tech this technology to those areas? That's what I want to see more of. And And again, I don't think it's a model or a capability challenge, it's just a product design challenge.
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korrents.com
Forty years of computing built technology that extends the intellect but nothing that extends the soul.Their words
Lenny, in many ways we spent 40 years building a technology that enables better spreadsheets, right? We built this like technology that extends our intellect, but nothing to extend our soul.
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korrents.com
People do not really want to be more productive; more of them probably want to spend time than save it.Their words
I think that we believe that people want to be more productive, but they don't. I think more people want to spend time than save time.
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korrents.com
AI models are not commodities, and people who think they are fungible have not actually used them.Their words
I think for people who believe the models are commodities or totally fungible, you just haven't actually used the models.
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Their words
Um I think the most useful question to ask yourself as a founder CEO is just, "Hey, if we assume these things are infinitely um intelligent and astonishingly cheap, how would we reorganize the company?" Cuz that's where we're going.
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korrents.com
When every idea can be tried, many product managers will probably find they are not that good at zero-to-one work.Their words
I think a lot of PMs are going to realize they're actually not that good at zero-to-one and it's much more fulfilling to work on someone else's good idea than your own bad idea.
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korrents.com
An AI loop can climb to a local maximum but then plateaus, and human intuition is needed to find the next hill.Their words
you know, the loop will help you climb to the local maxima, but then it plateaus. And you need some sort of out of distribution thinking, you need human intuition, you need somebody to actually help you land at the base of the next hill.
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Their words
So, I think we're going to see this sort of cascading set of everything from a loop per person, loop per job function, loop across entire business units to, you know, loops that can run large parts of the company.
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Their words
So, I do think that like the most ambitious companies are rethinking everything around the models. And those that are a little less ambitious or perhaps a little earlier are thinking more about how do we give people and existing orgs existing job functions access to the technology.
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korrents.com
People may be overestimating how many problems are bound by intelligence rather than by other things.Their words
So, I think we might be overestimating how many problems are intelligence bound versus bound by other things.
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korrents.com
There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever.Their words
So, I don't believe that that's going to happen. I do think that model progress is happening faster than ever before.
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Their words
it's a funny dark fantasy that we seem to have as, you know, Silicon Valley collectively.