From one piece Sundar Pichai: CEO of Google and Alphabet | Lex Fridman Podcast #471 16 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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I always ask myself the question, would you have been born now or any other time in the past? I most often, not most often, almost always would rather be born now.
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Number three, even if you end up quite not accomplishing what you set out to do and you end up doing 60, 80% of it, it'll end up being a terrific success. So that's the advice I would give people, right? I think it's just aiming for big ideas, has all these advantages
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korrents.com
AR is the next paradigm shift in computing, the way the GUI, multi-touch and voice were.Their words
The best innovations in computing have come through a paradigm IO change, right? When with GUI, and then with a graphical user interface, and then with multi-touch in the context of mobile voice later on. Similarly, I feel like AR is that next paradigm.
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I do. If you have a passion for computer science, I would. Computer science is obviously a lot more than programming alone, so I would. I still don't think I would change what you pursue. I think AI will horizontally allow impact every field.
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korrents.com
The next big wave of AI-assisted engineering unlocks when agentic capabilities become robust.Their words
The big unlock will be as we make the agentic capabilities much more robust, right? I think that's what unlocks that next big wave.
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But the most important metric, and we carefully measure it is, like, how much has our engineering velocity increased as a company due to AI, right? It's tough measure, and we rigorously try to measure it, and our estimates are that number is now at 10%, right?
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Look, I think news and journalism will play an important role in the future. We are pretty committed to it, right? So I think making sure that ecosystem, in fact, I think we'll be able to differentiate ourselves as a company over time because of our commitment there.
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You can have AI give a lot of context, but one of our important design goals though, is when you come to Google Search, you are going to get a lot of context, but you're going to go and find a lot of things out on the web. So that will be true in AI mode, in AI overviews, and so on.
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Today, we are constraining the models, the models can't quite express themselves in terms of the UI to people. But if you think about it, we've kind of boxed them in that way, but given these models can code, they should be able to write the best interfaces to express their ideas over time.
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I almost feel the term doesn't matter, what I know is by 2030 there'll be such dramatic progress. We'll be dealing with the consequences of that progress, both the positive externalities and the negative externalities that come with it in a big way by 2030. So that I strongly feel.
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I feel like we are in the AJI phase where dramatic progress, some things don't work well, but overall you're seeing lots of progress.
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So I do think scaling laws are working, but it's tough to get, at any given time, the models we all use the most, this maybe a few months behind the maximum capability we can deliver because that won't be the fastest, easiest to use, et cetera.
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But I do think when it comes to artistic free expression, I think that's one of those values we should work hard to defend.
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korrents.com
AI video will enable more filmmakers than have ever existed; the expansionary side of it is underestimated.Their words
There is no doubt in me that we will enable more filmmakers than have ever been. You're going to empower a lot more people. So I think there is an expansionary aspect of this, which is underestimated, I think.
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When the internet created blogs, you heard from so many more people. But with AI, I think that number won't be in the few hundreds of thousands. It'll be tens of millions of people, maybe even a billion people putting out things into the world in a deeper way.
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Many years ago, I think it might've been 2017 or 2018, I said at the time, AI is the most profound technology humanity will ever work on. It'll be more profound than fire or electricity. So, I have to back myself. I still think that's the case.