Rodney Brooks

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1 January

Rodney BrooksKorrents 1 Jan

From one piece Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there

korrents.com
Tesla's robotaxi service is a facade rather than a real driverless service, and it is not on a path to becoming one.

self-driving cars

Their words

Tesla (owned by Tesla) has put on a facade of being operational, but it is not operational in the sense of the other two services, and faces regulatory headwinds that both Waymo and Zoox have long been able to satisfy. They are not on a path to becoming a real service.

Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01rodneybrooks.com
korrents.com
A robotaxi that still needs remote human help loses the cost advantage that motivated it, which pushes out when it can scale.

self-driving cars

Their words

Systems which do require remote operations assistance to get full reliability cut into that economic advantage and have a higher burden on their ROI calculations to make a business case for their adoption and therefore their time horizon to scaling across geographies.

Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01rodneybrooks.com

1 January 2025

Rodney BrooksKorrents 1 Jan 2025

From one piece Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there

korrents.com
The driverless taxi services that exist arrived years earlier than expected but are not what was promised: remote humans are in the loop.

self-driving cars

Their words

Waymo now has a service that looks and feels like this in San Francisco, 8 years earlier than I predicted. But it is not what every one was expecting. There are humans in the loop.

Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01rodneybrooks.com
korrents.com
Actual self-driving turned out to be far harder than almost everyone believed it would be.

self-driving cars

Their words

Actual self-driving is now generally accepted to be much harder than every one believed.

Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01rodneybrooks.com

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