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10 September
20 August
From one piece We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Decline 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The demand for explanations of low fertility is entirely a demand for variables which will reduce these technical trends to near zero.
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
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Their words
He ruled out all the actual, measurable variables because they were an imperfect explanation, and instead offers a vague, diffuse variable, for which he has no measure, and which is not actually included in his model.
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
18 August
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Their words
Now you can have a quake style console in your operating system. Except with an infinitely patient agent to help you customize it instead of esoteric variable names and slash commands like in the 90s
27 June
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Their words
These failures are a strong signal that HDL-C is not the variable we should be trying to manipulate.
9 June
From one piece Mental Models That Change How You Think | Bill Gurley 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I would describe complex systems as multivariable nonlinear systems. And multivariable nonlinear systems are very hard to predict. They can behave one way for a long time and then one variable can switch and they can behave another way.
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korrents.com
Optimising a single metric is a trap, because the second-order consequences of the change only surface much later.Their words
you got to be really conscious of the consequence and not get too deterministic about a single metric or a single variable and know what's important and what's on top.
14 March
28 November 2025
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Their words
the depth of a coffee bed, contrary to the width of the coffee bed, is a variable that impacts the flavor of the coffee being brewed significantly, and in a way that you cannot easily compensate for by changing other brew variables.
28 September 2025
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korrents.com
Who is in a school predicts its results better than anything about its teaching, its teachers or its methods.Their words
Once again, the composition of the student body is always more powerful a predictor than any identifiable pedagogical, school, or teacher variable.
There Are No Miracles in Educationfreddiedeboer.substack.com
26 December 2024
2 May 2024
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