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Professor of international affairs at Johns Hopkins SAIS and co-author, with Abraham Newman, of Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Success in cultural and professional fields is driven more by chance and path dependence than by talent.

  Their words

  much cultural success is stochastic (the experimental evidence suggests that talent only moderately predicts success in culture markets), and that path dependence shapes chances of success

  No-One Makes You Shop at Amazonprogrammablemutter.com

Professor at Stanford working on robot learning and meta-learning; co-founded Physical Intelligence.

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  A robot going down a wrong path is not producing training data; the efficient move is for a human to intervene and show the recovery.

  Their words

  and trying to fold two boxes together isn't useful data that will teach the model how to get better at the task. And so that would be kind of wasting a lot of time on the robot attempting to go down the wrong path for solving the problem. And so instead of spending a lot of time trying to do that task, what we'll do is we'll actually have a human intervene and show the robot what to do and how to recover from that situation.

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Founder of what became Bloomberg New Energy Finance; writes and speaks on clean energy, hydrogen and the economics of the transition, and hosts the Cleaning Up podcast.

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  The Gulf conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz will accelerate the global shift away from fossil fuels

  energy

  Their words

  What the current conflict in the Gulf - in particular the closure of the Strait of Hormuz - is going to do is to provide a further push to global attempts to reduce dependence on fossil fuels.

  liebreich.com

Scientist and writer on quantum computing, memory systems and metascience; co-wrote the standard quantum computation textbook and wrote Reinventing Discovery.

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  A theory gets abandoned when the old explanation becomes visibly insufficient: special relativity made Newtonian gravity's action at a distance impossible, and that was the forcing function.

  Their words

  Um and so, it's not a big leap to realize, "Oh, we have a big problem here." Um and so, you know, that's kind of the that's the forcing function there. It's it's you've realized that your old explanation is not sufficient. You need something new.

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Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic; previously VP of research at OpenAI.

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  The hardest thing for a future historian to recover will be how little the world outside understood, because whatever happened looks inevitable in retrospect.

  Their words

  One is at every moment of this exponential, the extent to which the world outside it didn't understand it. This is This is a bias that's often present in history where anything that actually happened looks inevitable in retrospect.

  youtube.com

Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic; previously VP of research at OpenAI.

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  Labour markets will eventually recover from AI, but the speed of the transition makes the short term unusually painful compared with past technologies.

  JavaScript

  Their words

  To be clear, speed in itself does not mean labor markets and employment won’t eventually recover, it just implies the short-term transition will be unusually painful compared to past technologies, since humans and labor markets are slow to react and to equilibrate.

  The Adolescence of Technology (January 2026)darioamodei.com

Assyriologist and curator at the British Museum; reads cuneiform, and wrote The Ark Before Noah and The First Ghosts.

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  Genesis and Gilgamesh are not two independent accounts of one flood; one is literarily dependent on the other.

  Their words

  So this was not only in the Epic of Gilgamesh, but it was also in the Book of Genesis. So what it meant was that it wasn’t… You couldn’t have two stories… It wasn’t two stories about the same thing. It was literary dependence.

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Author of The Simple Path to Wealth and of the jlcollinsnh.com stock series on index-fund investing.

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  Nobody can reliably predict when market drops will occur, how deep they'll go, or when they'll end.

  Their words

  You can't predict when they happen, how deep they'll go, or when they will recover.

  jlcollinsnh.com

Founder and chief analyst of SemiAnalysis; reports on semiconductor supply chains, AI datacentre economics and what the chip export controls actually do.

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  Building fabs in America does not reduce dependence on Taiwan: without Hsinchu, TSMC's Arizona plant would stop producing within a couple of years.

  America

  Their words

  Arizona is a paperweight. If Hsinchu disappeared off the face of the planet, within a year, couple years, Arizona would stop producing too.

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Interface designer and researcher, known for the talks Inventing on Principle and Media for Thinking the Unthinkable and for essays on dynamic representations of ideas. Founder of Dynamicland, where he is building a communal computer.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  Technopoly

  Their words

  Technological dependence, and the amorality of progress.

  worrydream.com

Software engineer and writer; former CTO of Wave, now at Anthropic. Blogs at benkuhn.net on attention, engineering management and doing hard things well.

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  Complice

  Their words

  (Complice is my favorite app for making lists of what I want to do today.) This helps me recover quickly from unintentionally going down rabbit holes.

  benkuhn.net