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They tended to underweight the endogenous response of political and military institutions to the catastrophe—the emergence of second-strike forces, elaborate command systems, crisis management, and above all mutually assured retaliation.
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Over the past three decades, scholars have identified a massive, unexplained gap in the timeline between the first domestication of crops and the emergence of the first agrarian states, complicating the narrative popularized by authors like Harari and Diamond.
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From one piece Neri Oxman: Biology, Art, and Science of Design & Engineering with Nature | Lex Fridman Podcast #394 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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What we don't want to happen with AGI, we want to happen with synthetic biology. What we don't want to happen online and software with language, we want for it to happen with bio-based materials.
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So if you can predict it doesn't count as emergence, actually.
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