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Their words
AI plausibly increases the risk at the margin. Whether that increase is small or catastrophic depends on factors such as AI capability trajectories, biosecurity responses, governance, etc.
What AI can and cannot do in biosecurityyourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com
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Andrew Kelley Site
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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16 September
14 September
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Their words
When liability exposure approaches 0—when no one pays the price for unverified failures—verification budgets collapse...Deployers flood the Runaway Risk Zone with unmonitored agents, capturing the gains of automation while socializing catastrophic risks.
12 September
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Their words
They tended to underweight the endogenous response of political and military institutions to the catastrophe—the emergence of second-strike forces, elaborate command systems, crisis management, and above all mutually assured retaliation.
10 September
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Their words
I put the probability of complete extinction as being so low it isn't worth discussing, but the probabilities of AI caused disasters - e.g. cyber attacks on critical infrastructure or bio-risks - as being worth debating.
9 September
1 September
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korrents.com
Switching to sustainable energy is the one effective, scalable tool available to prevent catastrophic climate change.Their words
"Just switching to sustainable energy" is in fact the one good, scalable weapon we have to fight that
29 August
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korrents.com
Global warming is destabilizing mountain glaciers, making catastrophic glacial-lake outburst floods more frequent.Their words
As the planet warms, the entire region's frozen mountain slopes are becoming less stable, making glacier collapses-and the catastrophic floods they can unleash-far more likely.
24 August
29 July
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Their words
The transformation to come will be decidedly nonlinear, meaning it will not occur as small impacts over many years but rather a series of infrequent, huge events of enormous destructive power.
9 December 2025
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Their words
the reason it's a catastrophic way to be paid my argument is that marketing is actually fat tailed so is innovation R&D pharmaceutical research science okay in other words 5 to 10% of what you do delivers perhaps 110% of the value
20 November 2025
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Their words
Learning loss is a global phenomenon, exacerbated by a catastrophic event, not a structural flaw unique to the American education system.
26 September 2025
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korrents.com
Deep learning generalises badly, and catastrophic interference with what a network already knew is the proof of it.Their words
so we know deep learning is really bad at this for example we know that if you train on some new thing it will often catastrophically interfere with all the old things that you that you knew
15 August 2025
15 April 2024
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