Daniel Swain
Climate scientist studying extreme weather in California and the western United States: drought, floods, wildfire and heat. Has written the Weather West blog since 2006 and hosts live YouTube sessions on weather and climate.
Daniel Swain did not write this page. ppll compiled it from their own words, each linked to the source. Is this you? · Report a mistake
What they believe
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The 2026 El Niño event will likely result in a profoundly unsubtle tilt in the odds toward wet and stormy conditions in California.
Amid an El Niño that will become the strongest, and also easternmost-centered, event on record (if it isn't already), this year's tilt in the odds toward wet and stormy conditions in California will be profoundly unsubtle.
weatherwest.comSaid 12 Oct 2026This on korrents
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Extreme oceanic warmth in the tropical and subtropical Pacific is likely to persist into winter and may expand northward along the West coast.
extreme oceanic warmth will likely persist into winter and may expand farther northward along the West coast as the season progresses.
weatherwest.comSaid 9 Oct 2026This on korrents
The bold line is korrents’ wording; the quote is theirs. These 2: what they wrote before what they said aloud, one per source, newest first.
Beliefs
Korrents What they believe 7 beliefs — each backed by an exact quote.
Each is a — compiled by korrents.com, not by them: the one-line wordings are korrents', the quotes are theirs.
Recent
The 2026 El Niño event will likely result in a profoundly unsubtle tilt in the odds toward wet and stormy conditions in California.
Amid an El Niño that will become the strongest, and also easternmost-centered, event on record (if it isn't already), this year's tilt in the odds toward wet and stormy conditions in California will be profoundly unsubtle.
Skip to content Said 12 Oct 2026
Anomalously warm waters are likely to spread farther north along the Pacific coast into the winter.
these anomalously warm waters are very likely to spread farther north along the Pacific coast later this autumn and into the winter.
Skip to content Said 12 Oct 2026
Multiple significant coastal flood events between November 2026 and January 2027 will be more severe and widespread than current events.
Between November 2026 and January 2027, I would anticipate multiple significant coastal flood events that are worse in severity and also much more widespread than what we are currently seeing.
Skip to content Said 12 Oct 2026
Show 4 more
Extreme oceanic warmth in the tropical and subtropical Pacific is likely to persist into winter and may expand northward along the West coast.
extreme oceanic warmth will likely persist into winter and may expand farther northward along the West coast as the season progresses.
Skip to content Said 9 Oct 2026
Episodes of extreme warmth in California will become less rare as the climate continues to warm.
As noted earlier this summer, episodes like this in California will become less rare as climate (and, thus, tropical/subtropical oceans) continue to warm due to climate change.
Skip to content Said 9 Oct 2026
The odds of a wetter-than-average winter in California are very high due to a record-breaking El Niño.
with a record-breaking El Niño event likely to become the dominant influence on prevailing weather patterns this winter across the North Pacific, the odds of a wetter-than-average winter are very high nearly statewide
Skip to content Said 27 Sept 2026
The relationship between El Niño and California precipitation is most significant from January through March.
the strongest connection actually does arise until the new year, from January through March.
Skip to content Said 27 Sept 2026
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Where they publish
Blog Weather West Long posts on California weather outlooks, El Nino and climate extremes
Link verified 24 Oct 2026.
Mastodon @weatherwest@mastodon.social Posts on extreme weather and climate
Link verified 24 Oct 2026.
Bluesky @weatherwest.bsky.social Posts on extreme weather and climate in the West
Link verified 24 Oct 2026.
YouTube YouTube Live office hours and talks on weather and climate
Link verified 24 Oct 2026.
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